Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
March Madness: Team from the Big 12 to win?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b893e5a1ae2296e3bf75291da384f95d2e324c03e0a4206eb93cd676145ff28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,450
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,115
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,450 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed Yes | 13c | 5,613$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.97 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 18c | 2,357$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.46 | 136 | 9.6%13 W · 123 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Yes | 49c | 1,267$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.83 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Yes | 17c | 999.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…5968backed No | 51c | 999.72$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.86 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 17c | 967.58$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.83 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb160…812bbacked No | 52c | 900$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1225…3a54backed No | 52c | 900$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a5…834bbacked No | 52c | 900$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41c…7123backed No | 52c | 900$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3987…a82dbacked Yes | 48c | 900$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0535…fe8abacked No | 52c | 880$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa911…9f8abacked No | 52c | 880$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3842…f0b4backed No | 52c | 880$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d62…f8eabacked No | 52c | 855$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…95a8backed No | 52c | 845$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7545…9132backed Yes | 48c | 795$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…1544backed Yes | 48c | 795$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf736…dfadbacked Yes | 48c | 795$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x050d…e9fabacked No | 52c | 730$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e0…b1b4backed No | 52c | 730$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8a…865bbacked No | 52c | 635$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…e8c0backed Yes | 48c | 595$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3f…4a6ebacked Yes | 48c | 575$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc00…d9e8backed No | 52c | 545$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ad…0b30backed No | 52c | 525$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…1a2dbacked Yes | 48c | 490$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…208ebacked Yes | 48c | 410$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9845…3fc6backed Yes | 48c | 410$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc85…b081backed Yes | 48c | 395$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa107…ec62backed Yes | 48c | 395$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a83…e78ebacked Yes | 48c | 395$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62fc…6eb7backed Yes | 48c | 355$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…f3b9backed Yes | 48c | 355$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bee5backed Yes | 48c | 355$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 18c | 340.39$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.48 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | -7.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed38…4f73backed Yes | 48c | 330$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x926d…aa8dbacked Yes | 48c | 325$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc14…e34cbacked Yes | 48c | 325$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8960…7ffbbacked Yes | 48c | 325$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 19c | 312$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.97 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x638c…e7f7backed Yes | 48c | 310$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4540…d61abacked Yes | 48c | 310$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb94d…4402backed Yes | 48c | 310$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…51f3backed Yes | 48c | 310$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbe…9945backed Yes | 48c | 310$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8a…dbf8backed Yes | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…245abacked No | 52c | 280$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa94e…c540backed No | 52c | 280$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a6…a888backed No | 52c | 280$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3855…ee41backed Yes | 48c | 280$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1d…dc5ebacked Yes | 48c | 270$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 16c | 268.05$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 13c | 263.86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b7…9c41backed Yes | 48c | 255$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…a54bbacked Yes | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197e…0c86backed Yes | 48c | 245$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2861…b1a7backed No | 52c | 220$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ad…7a9bbacked No | 52c | 220$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe186…6364backed No | 52c | 205$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8952…08efbacked No | 52c | 190$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae2…7e82backed No | 52c | 185$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…c8b8backed Yes | 18c | 170$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8c…f075backed No | 52c | 160$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 19c | 149.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 104 | 29.8%31 W · 73 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8583…a5dbbacked Yes | 23c | 147.58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 46 | 8.7%4 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d97…f7c2backed Yes | 48c | 140$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ac…97c7backed Yes | 48c | 140$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x663e…5916backed No | 52c | 135$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd439…4c80backed No | 52c | 135$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e39…2de6backed No | 52c | 135$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec78…b48bbacked No | 52c | 135$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6424…16e0backed No | 52c | 135$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e06…602dbacked Yes | 48c | 115$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb360…d8c7backed Yes | 48c | 115$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…7a1dbacked No | 52c | 115$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58cd…f1cdbacked No | 52c | 115$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…54d6backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…8e5fbacked No | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ec…d991backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e35…8b4dbacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd8…2cf0backed Yes | 48c | 99.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb18…6ed0backed No | 78c | 92$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3356…11f3backed Yes | 48c | 90$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecd…0486backed Yes | 48c | 85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7953…c867backed Yes | 48c | 85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaffd…923fbacked Yes | 48c | 85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3075…9143backed Yes | 48c | 85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 13c | 79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 73c | 77$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.59 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0705…05cebacked Yes | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa291…d88dbacked Yes | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…fe4bbacked No | 52c | 65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…959abacked No | 52c | 65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f3…8ae0backed Yes | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36a3…9151backed Yes | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb381…1093backed Yes | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x026a…9ab9backed Yes | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf52b…ff3fbacked Yes | 48c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b8…6a67backed Yes | 48c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- March Madness: Team from the Big 12 to win?this page
- March Madness: Team from other conference to win?No won
- March Madness: Team from the ACC to win?No won
- March Madness: Team from the Big East to win?No won
- March Madness: Team from the Big Ten to win?No won
- March Madness: Team from the SEC to win?Yes won
- March Madness: Team from the WCC to win?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.