Earnings · resolved market
Will GameStop (GME) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ccc66e9c03261a867dfc47c48a66cbe558e7efc369314a5b0c5e35e31aa2c8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,574
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,574 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd555…e28abacked No | 8c | 4,006$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.26 | 216 | 39.4%85 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 11c | 3,233$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.49 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a40…6d1bbacked No | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked No | 10c | 1,400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 1,154$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9256…2e8bbacked No | 7c | 1,083$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.62 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +8.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5d…8d58backed No | 12c | 865.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +451.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0a…69d3backed No | 12c | 807.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb102…c73dbacked No | 12c | 805.6$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.05 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 11c | 799.96$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed No | 13c | 614.82$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.78 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…6ea1backed No | 13c | 547.17$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.1 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a04…d57dbacked No | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…30f1backed No | 11c | 412.74$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a4…91ecbacked No | 12c | 410.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4497…8c81backed No | 8c | 397.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3be…0e17backed No | 12c | 392.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +48%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d21…df94backed No | 13c | 356.03$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.86 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 7c | 355.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked Yes | 58c | 344.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.27 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +14.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…de7fbacked No | 16c | 279.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd18d…fc51backed No | 14c | 255.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd381…5e20backed No | 14c | 220.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec6…0cfebacked No | 13c | 206.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc5…7c0abacked No | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…b5dabacked No | 11c | 199.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…61e9backed No | 11c | 199.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 90 | 16.7%15 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…e95bbacked No | 13c | 175$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed No | 12c | 173.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 203 | 31.5%64 W · 139 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f7…42a9backed No | 14c | 162$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac1…13c8backed No | 10c | 152.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 21c | 146$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…5ef3backed No | 12c | 140$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 16c | 136.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17a4…aa4dbacked No | 15c | 130.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb91…b665backed No | 15c | 122.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…064fbacked No | 19c | 120$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73ae…a3a9backed No | 13c | 109.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 11c | 108.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked No | 11c | 100.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3350…16edbacked No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb186…310cbacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…6824backed No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d59…b22cbacked No | 11c | 95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43f…999fbacked No | 16c | 93.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2916…752abacked No | 16c | 81.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f2…7027backed No | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked No | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed No | 45c | 56.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -12.1wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6586…c69cbacked No | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 30c | 47.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9235…3fbdbacked Yes | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bdaebacked No | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x430d…f084backed No | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…c502backed No | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6c…59d8backed No | 40c | 35.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3028…7620backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc043…031cbacked No | 50c | 23.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.