TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Felix Balshaw vs Luca Pow

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Felix Balshawof Felix Balshaw, Luca Pow
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$119,272
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$124,546

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,272 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Luca Pow17c27,264$4,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,624.418,72636.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L-187.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Felix Balshaw66c15,154$10,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,152.421,14346.4%530 W · 613 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Luca Pow34c10,090$3,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,476.844,12644.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L+13.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6129…0807backed Felix Balshaw63c6,400$4,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3684156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Luca Pow29c5,674$1,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,661.4630335.3%107 W · 196 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Felix Balshaw68c5,481$3,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,758.638,39642.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L-162.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Luca Pow10c4,199$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4409528.1%77 W · 875 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Luca Pow3c3,752$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.074,15952.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L+66.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Luca Pow30c3,635$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,073.344,64749.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L+159.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Felix Balshaw80c2,685$2,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.1734145.2%154 W · 187 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x022c…5ef0backed Luca Pow20c2,667$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Felix Balshaw66c2,595$1,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.7680558.6%472 W · 333 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe23d…3c72backed Luca Pow2c2,000$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42468.7%4 W · 42 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick6cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f17…0724backed Luca Pow10c1,859$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.6564753.9%349 W · 298 L+32.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5a3…9e12backed Felix Balshaw70c1,810$1,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.072152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+27.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed Felix Balshaw64c1,786$1,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.412752.8%67 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Felix Balshaw71c1,657$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.529844.9%44 W · 54 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc144…c809backed Luca Pow2c1,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010730.8%33 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99fb…acbabacked Felix Balshaw68c1,484$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.9125464.6%164 W · 90 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Luca Pow16c1,222$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.481,65744.2%733 W · 924 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5803…3f3fbacked Luca Pow2c972.39$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1779249.1%389 W · 403 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Luca Pow28c964$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.477647.4%36 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Luca Pow32c938.86$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.312,99757.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L+170.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Luca Pow2c876.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.154,87541.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L-77.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x134f…2b5dbacked Luca Pow16c868.19$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.9117044.1%75 W · 95 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Luca Pow29c836$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.441,01350.1%508 W · 505 L+36.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7787…bf58backed Luca Pow33c818.88$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27014447.2%68 W · 76 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Felix Balshaw72c783.04$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.554,46667.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L+299.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Luca Pow19c751.34$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.015,28856.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L+231.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d91…40d3backed Luca Pow14c732.14$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7548231.1%150 W · 332 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Felix Balshaw71c602.28$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.6684349.8%420 W · 423 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Felix Balshaw70c543.04$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.163,62145.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L-3.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25bf…ef3dbacked Felix Balshaw65c518.25$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.1422150.7%112 W · 109 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked Felix Balshaw64c436.5$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.310543.8%46 W · 59 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Luca Pow29c429.98$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.6935038.3%134 W · 216 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Luca Pow34c388.2$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.2230339.3%119 W · 184 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Luca Pow31c366.44$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.776,59650.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L+259.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d22…2bafbacked Luca Pow15c334$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+25.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1861…408dbacked Felix Balshaw70c328.21$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.344151.9%229 W · 212 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf17a…b0b7backed Felix Balshaw76c312.97$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9910677.4%82 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick74cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Luca Pow29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872,21242.9%948 W · 1,264 L+34.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a00…9158backed Luca Pow24c263.16$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.1678540.6%319 W · 466 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Luca Pow30c250.8$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1424846.4%115 W · 133 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed2f…5e19backed Felix Balshaw62c250$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9510761.7%66 W · 41 L-0.5wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x293c…dcbabacked Felix Balshaw55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9034553.3%184 W · 161 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17d9…84afbacked Luca Pow29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5828848.3%139 W · 149 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Felix Balshaw70c157.89$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.931,06652.4%559 W · 507 L+30.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0fd…3798backed Luca Pow16c148.44$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.759421.3%20 W · 74 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d6d…f2b4backed Felix Balshaw71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8544359.8%265 W · 178 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Felix Balshaw71c137$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7396444.2%426 W · 538 L-3.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Luca Pow29c131.14$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387,10049.7%3,530 W · 3,570 L+107.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Luca Pow29c130.21$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.155,19928.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L-18.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfea6…b795backed Felix Balshaw72c118.06$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4950341.9%211 W · 292 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28d8…be44backed Luca Pow22c106.6$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.477254.2%39 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Felix Balshaw68c103.63$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.291,00154.9%550 W · 451 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6aca…e738backed Felix Balshaw70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3010562.9%66 W · 39 L+10.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+16.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x68cf…e58cbacked Felix Balshaw55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456053.3%32 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Felix Balshaw67c97.09$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.041,25238.8%486 W · 766 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08c8…016abacked Felix Balshaw71c92$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6832659.2%193 W · 133 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb8e…3dc3backed Luca Pow34c88.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3017936.9%66 W · 113 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Felix Balshaw60c84$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.021,80258.9%1,062 W · 740 L+5.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89b6…886ebacked Felix Balshaw73c82.19$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1917260.5%104 W · 68 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbeec…2f66backed Felix Balshaw73c79.8$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7520361.6%125 W · 78 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8204…8fa3backed Luca Pow16c76.19$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.194030%12 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-25.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78a1…5551backed Felix Balshaw61c75$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2589435.9%321 W · 573 L-14.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Luca Pow34c73.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2527943.4%121 W · 158 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Luca Pow24c70.96$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.031,41855%780 W · 638 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70bb…10d3backed Felix Balshaw72c70$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.631753.3%169 W · 148 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…331cbacked Felix Balshaw65c70$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.533164%212 W · 119 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18d8…da3bbacked Felix Balshaw66c60.32$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3225048.4%121 W · 129 L+22.9wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Luca Pow29c59.47$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.246,99839.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L-16.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Felix Balshaw76c51.15$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2820552.7%108 W · 97 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x546a…1988backed Luca Pow31c48.97$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.189138.5%35 W · 56 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe954…1ef1backed Felix Balshaw69c48.97$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.189748.5%47 W · 50 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8195…3fedbacked Felix Balshaw71c47.43$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.75875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+48.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd16f…9713backed Felix Balshaw65c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.158759.8%52 W · 35 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+26.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Felix Balshaw70c45.68$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.531,01657.7%586 W · 430 L-14.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Luca Pow24c45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.884548.3%408 W · 437 L+34.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Luca Pow37c42.57$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9621854.6%119 W · 99 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6022…9ec8backed Felix Balshaw63c42.31$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.64463.6%28 W · 16 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fd7…1735backed Felix Balshaw62c40.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3213366.9%89 W · 44 L+16.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+20.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x715d…a4babacked Luca Pow30c36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.834047.6%162 W · 178 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73da…b51bbacked Felix Balshaw77c34$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.931931.6%6 W · 13 L-4.6wins-0.24per pick56cpaid-55.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x77c9…f4dabacked Felix Balshaw67c32.58$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.753363.6%21 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeebe…72f2backed Felix Balshaw65c32.31$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3119526.2%51 W · 144 L-13.8wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-31.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8526…72aabacked Felix Balshaw67c30.76$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1569947.8%334 W · 365 L-3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x88da…e801backed Felix Balshaw66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.311843.2%51 W · 67 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e03…aa34backed Felix Balshaw76c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.22642.3%11 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Felix Balshaw71c29$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.412,44235.8%874 W · 1,568 L-29.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8087…a213backed Felix Balshaw69c28.81$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9335866.5%238 W · 120 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a7b…f972backed Felix Balshaw73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.411640.5%47 W · 69 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13b2…5486backed Felix Balshaw77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.978777%67 W · 20 L+7.4wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb6f8…df87backed Felix Balshaw71c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.312650.8%64 W · 62 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2253…e358backed Felix Balshaw70c24.56$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.37333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Felix Balshaw64c23.52$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.471,54551.5%795 W · 750 L+5.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d3…16c5backed Felix Balshaw66c22.73$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.73250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e3e…637cbacked Felix Balshaw71c22.42$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.54858.3%28 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcac7…37d8backed Felix Balshaw71c21.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.324973.5%36 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2470…7ae6backed Felix Balshaw72c20.31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.648461.9%52 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2326…b627backed Felix Balshaw64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.21,23265.4%806 W · 426 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.