Tennis · resolved market
Roehampton 2: Alexis Gautier vs Alec Deckers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e726231831a857691153c13c36ec12b4ac4199fde129169538f6d86605217c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alec Deckersof Alexis Gautier, Alec Deckers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alexis Gautier | 5c | 9,958$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.68 | 9,161 | 36.1%3,309 W · 5,852 L | -202.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Alec Deckers | 78c | 2,395$1,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.78 | 4,784 | 49.6%2,372 W · 2,412 L | +177.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Alexis Gautier | 7c | 1,459$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.49 | 2,859 | 47.1%1,348 W · 1,511 L | +37.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Alec Deckers | 80c | 857.77$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.55 | 6,678 | 50.7%3,387 W · 3,291 L | +265.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alexis Gautier | 19c | 842.88$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.25 | 8,834 | 42.5%3,758 W · 5,076 L | -169.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…14ffbacked Alexis Gautier | 24c | 750$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc2…f31ebacked Alexis Gautier | 15c | 737.96$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Alexis Gautier | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 764 | 55%420 W · 344 L | +48.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Alec Deckers | 80c | 565.43$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.97 | 4,626 | 67.8%3,135 W · 1,491 L | +310.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Alexis Gautier | 20c | 423$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 4,684 | 48.3%2,264 W · 2,420 L | +35.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Alec Deckers | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Alexis Gautier | 22c | 416$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.52 | 4,992 | 38.6%1,927 W · 3,065 L | -19.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Alexis Gautier | 15c | 346.06$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.64 | 609 | 46%280 W · 329 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Alexis Gautier | 30c | 316.98$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.65 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Alexis Gautier | 24c | 307.88$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.08 | 1,316 | 39%513 W · 803 L | -23.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…86e1backed Alexis Gautier | 25c | 272.47$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.3 | 167 | 20.4%34 W · 133 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b57…bf08backed Alexis Gautier | 9c | 267.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Alexis Gautier | 10c | 262.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 656 | 37.5%246 W · 410 L | -33.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Alexis Gautier | 20c | 239.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.11 | 9,406 | 44.3%4,171 W · 5,235 L | -245.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Alec Deckers | 70c | 238.49$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.55 | 1,103 | 52.2%576 W · 527 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Alexis Gautier | 10c | 230.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 6,798 | 36.9%2,507 W · 4,291 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Alexis Gautier | 27c | 224.78$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 480 | 46.3%222 W · 258 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Alexis Gautier | 26c | 193.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 1,094 | 36.7%402 W · 692 L | -21.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Alexis Gautier | 29c | 172.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5,352 | 28.8%1,543 W · 3,809 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Alexis Gautier | 27c | 161.22$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.87 | 250 | 42%105 W · 145 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Alexis Gautier | 19c | 159.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 6,649 | 46.3%3,079 W · 3,570 L | -38.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Alexis Gautier | 30c | 138.49$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 2,347 | 52.1%1,223 W · 1,124 L | +86.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8468…3860backed Alec Deckers | 69c | 117.39$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…3ccebacked Alexis Gautier | 16c | 117$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked Alexis Gautier | 21c | 110$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Alec Deckers | 73c | 107$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 901 | 64.4%580 W · 321 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Alexis Gautier | 23c | 100.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 795 | 38.4%305 W · 490 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Alexis Gautier | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd7…1735backed Alexis Gautier | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 148 | 64.2%95 W · 53 L | +13.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Alexis Gautier | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 4,041 | 45.7%1,848 W · 2,193 L | -28.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Alec Deckers | 73c | 75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 978 | 44.6%436 W · 542 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Alec Deckers | 70c | 64.19$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 439 | 64.7%284 W · 155 L | +24.5wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48f0…810bbacked Alec Deckers | 76c | 59.21$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Alexis Gautier | 24c | 47.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 2,548 | 38.5%982 W · 1,566 L | +96.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Alec Deckers | 74c | 44.59$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 1,022 | 57.8%591 W · 431 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88da…e801backed Alec Deckers | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Alexis Gautier | 27c | 38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 2,554 | 36.3%928 W · 1,626 L | -23.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Alec Deckers | 75c | 30.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alec Deckers | 70c | 27.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 8,057 | 50.8%4,089 W · 3,968 L | +90.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa678…dd59backed Alec Deckers | 74c | 27.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Alec Deckers | 78c | 24.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 1,079 | 54.9%592 W · 487 L | +14.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Alec Deckers | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 826 | 59.3%490 W · 336 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Alec Deckers | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 1,043 | 54.3%566 W · 477 L | +38.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa05f…2465backed Alec Deckers | 73c | 18.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 90 | 66.7%60 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc92a…f183backed Alec Deckers | 74c | 15.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.