Tennis · resolved market
Augsburg: Kai Wehnelt vs Daniel Siniakov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x583cd87521637756d25d2197edc8c93dcbba73c110570e080300ea7b4df23e46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kai Wehneltof Kai Wehnelt, Daniel Siniakov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,658
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,883
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,658 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kai Wehnelt | 58c | 23,268$13,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,852.07 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…4159backed Daniel Siniakov | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,349.6 | 153 | 48.4%74 W · 79 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbac…38d0backed Daniel Siniakov | 71c | 4,156$2,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950.83 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccc…77abbacked Daniel Siniakov | 37c | 2,168$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.27 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…a4babacked Daniel Siniakov | 35c | 2,095$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.39 | 340 | 47.6%162 W · 178 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Daniel Siniakov | 11c | 2,022$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.38 | 952 | 8.1%77 W · 875 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Daniel Siniakov | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 513 | 44.4%228 W · 285 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f8…df87backed Kai Wehnelt | 51c | 1,986$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.65 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Daniel Siniakov | 13c | 1,843$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.6 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Daniel Siniakov | 60c | 1,656$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 310 | 52.9%164 W · 146 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Kai Wehnelt | 53c | 1,514$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.37 | 691 | 41.1%284 W · 407 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Daniel Siniakov | 47c | 1,362$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.65 | 2,754 | 53.8%1,481 W · 1,273 L | +71.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Kai Wehnelt | 79c | 1,232$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.65 | 4,126 | 44.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L | +13.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…b5c5backed Kai Wehnelt | 63c | 1,162$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.65 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Kai Wehnelt | 61c | 1,151$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.65 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Kai Wehnelt | 53c | 1,111$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.43 | 805 | 58.6%472 W · 333 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Kai Wehnelt | 63c | 936.43$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.82 | 2,997 | 57.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L | +170.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde80…d8b9backed Daniel Siniakov | 46c | 936.29$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.01 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Daniel Siniakov | 33c | 871.63$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.48 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Kai Wehnelt | 66c | 847.09$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.76 | 477 | 56.6%270 W · 207 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Daniel Siniakov | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Daniel Siniakov | 36c | 681.47$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.57 | 1,563 | 40%625 W · 938 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a2…ae28backed Daniel Siniakov | 36c | 668.56$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.68 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.30per pick | 42cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Kai Wehnelt | 39c | 600$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Kai Wehnelt | 77c | 545.84$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.13 | 5,288 | 56.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L | +231.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Kai Wehnelt | 39c | 512.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.73 | 965 | 41.5%400 W · 565 L | +14.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fa…5fa9backed Kai Wehnelt | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Kai Wehnelt | 41c | 485.36$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.36 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Daniel Siniakov | 35c | 439.28$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.78 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Daniel Siniakov | 47c | 408.3$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.47 | 2,821 | 39.5%1,113 W · 1,708 L | -82.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Daniel Siniakov | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 530 | 44.9%238 W · 292 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Daniel Siniakov | 36c | 372.31$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.2 | 1,252 | 38.8%486 W · 766 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Kai Wehnelt | 56c | 324.68$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.86 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Daniel Siniakov | 41c | 304.88$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 3,631 | 54.9%1,995 W · 1,636 L | +110.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Kai Wehnelt | 75c | 274.91$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 1,657 | 44.2%733 W · 924 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa261…af5bbacked Daniel Siniakov | 22c | 247$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.36 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Daniel Siniakov | 8c | 240.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ab…68b6backed Daniel Siniakov | 21c | 228.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 112 | 14.3%16 W · 96 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79e9…80b1backed Daniel Siniakov | 19c | 208.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -12.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…1cebbacked Daniel Siniakov | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Daniel Siniakov | 32c | 195$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 737 | 38.8%286 W · 451 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Daniel Siniakov | 42c | 190.48$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…3e8cbacked Kai Wehnelt | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 302 | 46.7%141 W · 161 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Daniel Siniakov | 37c | 171.34$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.48 | 597 | 38.2%228 W · 369 L | -27.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Daniel Siniakov | 28c | 162$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 3,412 | 39.1%1,335 W · 2,077 L | -11.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Daniel Siniakov | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 894 | 35.9%321 W · 573 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8468…3860backed Daniel Siniakov | 18c | 145.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 238 | 31.5%75 W · 163 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2471…4523backed Daniel Siniakov | 18c | 138$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed Daniel Siniakov | 13c | 134.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79b5…df9bbacked Daniel Siniakov | 48c | 128.69$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.77 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Daniel Siniakov | 42c | 126.7$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.67 | 250 | 48.4%121 W · 129 L | +22.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Daniel Siniakov | 34c | 115.66$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 308 | 30.8%95 W · 213 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Daniel Siniakov | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,575 | 46.4%1,195 W · 1,380 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…ea47backed Kai Wehnelt | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Daniel Siniakov | 39c | 106.82$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.78 | 1,001 | 54.9%550 W · 451 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Kai Wehnelt | 64c | 106.34$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.45 | 1,958 | 43.7%856 W · 1,102 L | -21.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Daniel Siniakov | 46c | 105.83$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36cf…d3aebacked Kai Wehnelt | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 444 | 46.2%205 W · 239 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Daniel Siniakov | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 669 | 38.3%256 W · 413 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Kai Wehnelt | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 308 | 55.8%172 W · 136 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2f…5e19backed Kai Wehnelt | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Kai Wehnelt | 51c | 99.75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 382 | 57.6%220 W · 162 L | +19.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Daniel Siniakov | 49c | 94.83$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 239 | 54.8%131 W · 108 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e4…db33backed Daniel Siniakov | 53c | 94.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 189 | 68.8%130 W · 59 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Daniel Siniakov | 50c | 90.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Daniel Siniakov | 44c | 84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 2,142 | 37.3%799 W · 1,343 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5429…83c2backed Daniel Siniakov | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 196 | 29.1%57 W · 139 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Daniel Siniakov | 44c | 73.49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8b…b723backed Kai Wehnelt | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bc…1e7ebacked Kai Wehnelt | 61c | 62.3$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf182…112bbacked Kai Wehnelt | 51c | 61.8$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.28 | 298 | 50%149 W · 149 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Daniel Siniakov | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 857 | 41.7%357 W · 500 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88da…e801backed Daniel Siniakov | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Daniel Siniakov | 56c | 55.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 6,419 | 46.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb2…c37cbacked Daniel Siniakov | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Daniel Siniakov | 32c | 52.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 2,079 | 44.4%923 W · 1,156 L | -52.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d9…b1b1backed Daniel Siniakov | 39c | 51.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 503 | 36%181 W · 322 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Kai Wehnelt | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1,830 | 57.7%1,056 W · 774 L | +105.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…9980backed Daniel Siniakov | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…c501backed Daniel Siniakov | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…a213backed Daniel Siniakov | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 358 | 66.5%238 W · 120 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0d…ca21backed Daniel Siniakov | 27c | 43.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Kai Wehnelt | 77c | 41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 506 | 55.5%281 W · 225 L | +24.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…b9c5backed Kai Wehnelt | 75c | 40.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…5d31backed Kai Wehnelt | 80c | 39.44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03dd…49c8backed Kai Wehnelt | 51c | 38.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 461 | 51.6%238 W · 223 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d24…f379backed Kai Wehnelt | 60c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…2ed6backed Daniel Siniakov | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -7.5wins | -0.30per pick | 58cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Kai Wehnelt | 69c | 33.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 279 | 43.4%121 W · 158 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Kai Wehnelt | 74c | 30.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 6,740 | 48.8%3,288 W · 3,452 L | +58.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Kai Wehnelt | 40c | 29.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 204 | 57.4%117 W · 87 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeca…15e7backed Kai Wehnelt | 55c | 27.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6f…4b61backed Daniel Siniakov | 50c | 26.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc476…924ebacked Daniel Siniakov | 53c | 26.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Kai Wehnelt | 42c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 2,442 | 35.8%874 W · 1,568 L | -29.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Daniel Siniakov | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 1,232 | 65.4%806 W · 426 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…359cbacked Kai Wehnelt | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 499 | 57.5%287 W · 212 L | +29.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Augsburg: Kai Wehnelt vs Daniel Siniakovthis page
- Augsburg, Germany, Qualifying: Completed Match: Kai Wehnelt vs Daniel SiniakovYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.