Tennis · resolved market
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Valeriya Strakhova vs Chloe Paquet
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2dca70e918d9b387b256b3744961aa14c6db821eab5ae8b560270db0912979d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chloe Paquetof Valeriya Strakhova, Chloe Paquet
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,451
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $126,362
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,451 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Valeriya Strakhova | 16c | 5,084$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.19 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Valeriya Strakhova | 17c | 4,330$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.03 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb804…cd66backed Valeriya Strakhova | 3c | 3,571$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 154 | 16.2%25 W · 129 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Valeriya Strakhova | 10c | 3,207$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.48 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…935fbacked Valeriya Strakhova | 11c | 3,075$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.65 | 173 | 23.7%41 W · 132 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ace…c46ebacked Valeriya Strakhova | 5c | 2,800$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 282 | 21.6%61 W · 221 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccc…77abbacked Chloe Paquet | 59c | 2,687$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.08 | 258 | 54.3%140 W · 118 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Valeriya Strakhova | 16c | 2,548$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 464 | 53%246 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Valeriya Strakhova | 5c | 2,371$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Valeriya Strakhova | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc779…8e4fbacked Chloe Paquet | 77c | 1,440$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.15 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Valeriya Strakhova | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 530 | 43%228 W · 302 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Valeriya Strakhova | 16c | 981.7$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.01 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Valeriya Strakhova | 14c | 858.45$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.76 | 559 | 41.3%231 W · 328 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Valeriya Strakhova | 12c | 740.34$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.01 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb84a…e02fbacked Chloe Paquet | 58c | 690.85$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.85 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Valeriya Strakhova | 7c | 659.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 92 | 32.6%30 W · 62 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d09…7fd6backed Valeriya Strakhova | 8c | 653$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.24 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Valeriya Strakhova | 11c | 640.78$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.68 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Valeriya Strakhova | 9c | 637.78$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.45 | 251 | 34.3%86 W · 165 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x693b…84e3backed Chloe Paquet | 54c | 628.64$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.84 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe081…0bf5backed Valeriya Strakhova | 11c | 469.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 23.5%19 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Chloe Paquet | 64c | 467.27$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.27 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Valeriya Strakhova | 10c | 423$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Valeriya Strakhova | 9c | 350$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48e4…db33backed Valeriya Strakhova | 59c | 333.16$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 189 | 68.8%130 W · 59 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed Valeriya Strakhova | 15c | 313.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 99 | 13.1%13 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Chloe Paquet | 77c | 300$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.1 | 747 | 43.6%326 W · 421 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e8…eebfbacked Valeriya Strakhova | 33c | 266.6$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.91 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Chloe Paquet | 62c | 258.47$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.26 | 488 | 55.9%273 W · 215 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Valeriya Strakhova | 10c | 244.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Valeriya Strakhova | 14c | 242.79$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82db…c0dfbacked Valeriya Strakhova | 12c | 234.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Valeriya Strakhova | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.1 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Chloe Paquet | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Valeriya Strakhova | 14c | 199.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 684 | 30%205 W · 479 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…bebdbacked Valeriya Strakhova | 12c | 195.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 347 | 48.1%167 W · 180 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7862…1706backed Valeriya Strakhova | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Valeriya Strakhova | 11c | 187.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c7…b8e1backed Valeriya Strakhova | 32c | 180.81$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdff7…d9d4backed Valeriya Strakhova | 13c | 168.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 250 | 20.8%52 W · 198 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…4253backed Valeriya Strakhova | 30c | 166.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Valeriya Strakhova | 13c | 153.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Valeriya Strakhova | 23c | 144.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Valeriya Strakhova | 18c | 135.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 819 | 33.1%271 W · 548 L | -30.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Valeriya Strakhova | 56c | 133.46$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.74 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Valeriya Strakhova | 11c | 128$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Valeriya Strakhova | 11c | 125$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c7…c6bdbacked Valeriya Strakhova | 26c | 104$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Chloe Paquet | 74c | 104$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 391 | 57.8%226 W · 165 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa58b…ef84backed Chloe Paquet | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0232…09d2backed Valeriya Strakhova | 14c | 96.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Valeriya Strakhova | 56c | 88.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4182…61ccbacked Valeriya Strakhova | 20c | 86.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33d2…9ac2backed Valeriya Strakhova | 13c | 77.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 146 | 44.5%65 W · 81 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee4a…ad4cbacked Valeriya Strakhova | 29c | 70.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Valeriya Strakhova | 15c | 68.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Valeriya Strakhova | 29c | 58.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 441 | 38.8%171 W · 270 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Valeriya Strakhova | 18c | 57.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed Valeriya Strakhova | 51c | 50.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 252 | 59.9%151 W · 101 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c0…22ebbacked Valeriya Strakhova | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 405 | 27.2%110 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Chloe Paquet | 76c | 39.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 300 | 55.7%167 W · 133 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Chloe Paquet | 79c | 38.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 711 | 65.1%463 W · 248 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Chloe Paquet | 72c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea0…86b1backed Chloe Paquet | 67c | 26.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52dc…2fe6backed Chloe Paquet | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8d…d241backed Chloe Paquet | 47c | 25.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6f…e043backed Chloe Paquet | 70c | 24.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ead…f0fbbacked Valeriya Strakhova | 51c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e33…e44ebacked Valeriya Strakhova | 51c | 20.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…189abacked Chloe Paquet | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Chloe Paquet | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Chloe Paquet | 72c | 14.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.