Tennis · resolved market
ITF Louisville: Mees Rottgering vs Ozan Baris
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9678ca3ad9d23e37ff1d333deedae7836a84a6510d5d4e3252122f2b6a389df0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ozan Barisof Mees Rottgering, Ozan Baris
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,797
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,797 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mees Rottgering | 35c | 1,699$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.37 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb84a…e02fbacked Ozan Baris | 70c | 571.43$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.43 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Ozan Baris | 68c | 442.63$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.55 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Ozan Baris | 63c | 315.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.39 | 307 | 55%169 W · 138 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d09…7fd6backed Mees Rottgering | 29c | 136.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Mees Rottgering | 9c | 136.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Ozan Baris | 67c | 126.17$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Ozan Baris | 45c | 126.15$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.21 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c7…b8e1backed Mees Rottgering | 34c | 125.1$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2066…7841backed Mees Rottgering | 47c | 113.83$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.39 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mees Rottgering | 24c | 109.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58b…ef84backed Mees Rottgering | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Ozan Baris | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Mees Rottgering | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Ozan Baris | 58c | 91.38$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.38 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Ozan Baris | 58c | 87.93$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.93 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Ozan Baris | 58c | 77.59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Ozan Baris | 70c | 76.62$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Ozan Baris | 58c | 74.14$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.14 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Ozan Baris | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Ozan Baris | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Ozan Baris | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Mees Rottgering | 55c | 64.91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…da0cbacked Mees Rottgering | 32c | 61.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Ozan Baris | 75c | 56.53$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Ozan Baris | 58c | 53.58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcafb…a4e4backed Mees Rottgering | 34c | 49.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Ozan Baris | 51c | 45.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Ozan Baris | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Ozan Baris | 45c | 40.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Mees Rottgering | 54c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Ozan Baris | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Mees Rottgering | 57c | 23.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Ozan Baris | 73c | 20.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea0…86b1backed Ozan Baris | 72c | 16.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Ozan Baris | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.