Tennis · resolved market
ITF Castelo Branco: Pablo Perez Ramos vs Tiago Cacao
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x588925d98529f76eb6033103474990cc7e2a6b0a5db28c42f9f183990bf0b303
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tiago Cacaoof Pablo Perez Ramos, Tiago Cacao
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,990
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,692
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,990 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pablo Perez Ramos | 48c | 11,747$5,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,687.91 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Tiago Cacao | 52c | 11,125$5,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,358.32 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Tiago Cacao | 55c | 396$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.2 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Tiago Cacao | 50c | 390$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tiago Cacao | 24c | 378.02$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.16 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Pablo Perez Ramos | 45c | 373$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.85 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Pablo Perez Ramos | 47c | 312.7$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.9 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Tiago Cacao | 46c | 167.61$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.27 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Pablo Perez Ramos | 50c | 106.92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.46 | 368 | 39.1%144 W · 224 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Tiago Cacao | 47c | 101.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.22 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Tiago Cacao | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58b…ef84backed Tiago Cacao | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.99 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Pablo Perez Ramos | 75c | 56.53$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a53…0eecbacked Pablo Perez Ramos | 45c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Tiago Cacao | 33c | 44.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79e9…80b1backed Pablo Perez Ramos | 48c | 44.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -12.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Tiago Cacao | 49c | 43.12$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed Pablo Perez Ramos | 36c | 42.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Pablo Perez Ramos | 64c | 39.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc27e…d4fbbacked Tiago Cacao | 55c | 36.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa594…fe78backed Pablo Perez Ramos | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Tiago Cacao | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 514 | 45.5%234 W · 280 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea0…86b1backed Pablo Perez Ramos | 56c | 29.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…1269backed Pablo Perez Ramos | 60c | 25.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c7…b8e1backed Pablo Perez Ramos | 61c | 25.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7f…d284backed Pablo Perez Ramos | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Tiago Cacao | 41c | 24.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcafb…a4e4backed Tiago Cacao | 49c | 24.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…fd50backed Tiago Cacao | 61c | 23.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 164 | 67.1%110 W · 54 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Tiago Cacao | 57c | 22.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Pablo Perez Ramos | 55c | 20.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Pablo Perez Ramos | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.