MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f2b50e97cae0da1dafbed68f4e79410509d732dd0024976918b2e3c2e6a6e4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Redsof Cincinnati Reds, Colorado Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $353,535
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $352,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $353,535 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 199,999$121,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,999.56 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Colorado Rockies | 39c | 50,674$19,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,762.84 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb727…2a9dbacked Colorado Rockies | 39c | 49,564$19,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,391.69 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Colorado Rockies | 31c | 37,668$11,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,549.3 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Colorado Rockies | 40c | 26,796$10,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,664 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Colorado Rockies | 39c | 25,353$9,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,887.79 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe54…41d6backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 13,880$8,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,847.31 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 13,780$8,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,374.33 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Colorado Rockies | 39c | 13,222$5,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,157.6 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Colorado Rockies | 39c | 12,906$5,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,033.34 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Colorado Rockies | 41c | 5,180$2,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,097.9 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Colorado Rockies | 28c | 5,045$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.35 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Colorado Rockies | 39c | 4,967$1,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,958.35 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Colorado Rockies | 39c | 4,096$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.42 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Colorado Rockies | 18c | 3,224$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.09 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Colorado Rockies | 39c | 3,071$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.85 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Colorado Rockies | 37c | 2,800$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.97 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…9b78backed Colorado Rockies | 2c | 2,462$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cincinnati Reds | 72c | 2,039$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.67 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 1,813$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.32 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5d…7501backed Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 1,809$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.32 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked Colorado Rockies | 43c | 1,800$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Colorado Rockies | 40c | 1,724$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.41 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 1,643$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.05 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed Colorado Rockies | 3c | 1,634$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 106 | 25.5%27 W · 79 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Colorado Rockies | 7c | 1,475$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.41 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Colorado Rockies | 40c | 1,297$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.8 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Colorado Rockies | 39c | 1,025$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.75 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Colorado Rockies | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Colorado Rockies | 39c | 999.98$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.99 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 842.03$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.23 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Colorado Rockies | 39c | 826.18$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.21 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Colorado Rockies | 39c | 800$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Colorado Rockies | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00e8…0039backed Colorado Rockies | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Colorado Rockies | 6c | 659.46$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.47 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Colorado Rockies | 39c | 657$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.23 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1a93backed Colorado Rockies | 40c | 639.63$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.85 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49e…e5e8backed Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 614.75$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.75 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Colorado Rockies | 39c | 577.94$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.55 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Colorado Rockies | 3c | 562.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Colorado Rockies | 42c | 550$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 546.44$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.11 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Colorado Rockies | 40c | 517.2$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.09 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b5…7e9abacked Colorado Rockies | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…85bdbacked Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 503.98$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.67 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -13.1wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Colorado Rockies | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 471.1$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.86 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Colorado Rockies | 43c | 465$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.95 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed Colorado Rockies | 40c | 424.48$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.68 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Colorado Rockies | 42c | 408.61$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.62 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…27d8backed Colorado Rockies | 5c | 408.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Colorado Rockies | 40c | 389.75$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.9 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Colorado Rockies | 6c | 381.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Colorado Rockies | 40c | 331$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.6 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Colorado Rockies | 6c | 325.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…e4a3backed Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Colorado Rockies | 40c | 320$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Colorado Rockies | 15c | 315.81$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.69 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 312$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.68 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed Colorado Rockies | 42c | 301.84$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.79 | 425 | 50.1%213 W · 212 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Colorado Rockies | 40c | 299.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 297.12$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.82 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Colorado Rockies | 28c | 277.53$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.07 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Colorado Rockies | 43c | 275.26$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.91 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Colorado Rockies | 40c | 273.51$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.89 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Colorado Rockies | 8c | 271.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Colorado Rockies | 42c | 270$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c7…b8e1backed Colorado Rockies | 6c | 252.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…235ebacked Colorado Rockies | 40c | 235.83$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.33 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Colorado Rockies | 43c | 229.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Colorado Rockies | 40c | 210.39$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.04 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Colorado Rockies | 15c | 208.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 200.93$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.39 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 196.72$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.72 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 195.01$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.03 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Colorado Rockies | 39c | 194.8$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.97 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Cincinnati Reds | 63c | 191.08$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.37 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 172.13$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.13 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…d790backed Colorado Rockies | 43c | 169$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.67 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e58…fb5abacked Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 160$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Colorado Rockies | 25c | 159.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde4e…d6e9backed Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 154.1$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.1 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Colorado Rockies | 16c | 150.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Colorado Rockies | 40c | 150.25$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.1 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Colorado Rockies | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Colorado Rockies | 42c | 142.02$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.65 | 375 | 46.9%176 W · 199 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 140.01$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.94 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Colorado Rockies | 42c | 140$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Colorado Rockies | 42c | 140$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 139.29$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.93 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Colorado Rockies | 40c | 139$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Colorado Rockies | 39c | 130$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x697c…0b87backed Colorado Rockies | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Colorado Rockies | 43c | 127.91$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockiesthis page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 14.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 15.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 17.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 19.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-6.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado RockiesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.