Cricket · resolved market
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indians - Who wins the toss?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57e2914b4d72d3bba0f6459dc93c55f432f1cb1f63617bbdc67b4a3e11cca361
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mumbai Indiansof Chennai Super Kings, Mumbai Indians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,443
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,191
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,443 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Mumbai Indians | 47c | 841.02$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.67 | 154 | 29.9%46 W · 108 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Mumbai Indians | 48c | 414.25$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.41 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa918…e3b7backed Mumbai Indians | 49c | 409.92$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.06 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…4b30backed Mumbai Indians | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7440…aca9backed Chennai Super Kings | 55c | 300.32$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…1959backed Mumbai Indians | 51c | 205$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.55 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6265…4947backed Chennai Super Kings | 53c | 203$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.59 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3d…3d83backed Chennai Super Kings | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…6deebacked Chennai Super Kings | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -7.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5460…15b5backed Chennai Super Kings | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed Mumbai Indians | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39e2…d3babacked Chennai Super Kings | 52c | 142.58$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e04…57c7backed Chennai Super Kings | 50c | 135$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a1…491dbacked Mumbai Indians | 50c | 102.4$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x231a…08b8backed Chennai Super Kings | 52c | 101.92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f75…3018backed Chennai Super Kings | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b66…02edbacked Mumbai Indians | 49c | 99.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.98 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe131…7594backed Chennai Super Kings | 50c | 98.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60bb…6ae9backed Chennai Super Kings | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ea…66dbbacked Mumbai Indians | 50c | 91.3$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67f3…3483backed Mumbai Indians | 50c | 90.62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.31 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2e…55e8backed Chennai Super Kings | 53c | 85.26$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d8…1ca6backed Chennai Super Kings | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5f…f690backed Chennai Super Kings | 50c | 57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x362e…5ef9backed Chennai Super Kings | 51c | 55.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x537f…b914backed Chennai Super Kings | 52c | 53.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…1e3bbacked Chennai Super Kings | 51c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91f6…6594backed Mumbai Indians | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1e…f21ebacked Mumbai Indians | 50c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2433…99aebacked Chennai Super Kings | 52c | 38.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 145 | 27.6%40 W · 105 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4afa…0a13backed Chennai Super Kings | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…1eecbacked Chennai Super Kings | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0c…ca14backed Mumbai Indians | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +12.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc5…b7dfbacked Chennai Super Kings | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd11…94bcbacked Mumbai Indians | 50c | 27.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…ea6abacked Chennai Super Kings | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6064…cc6ebacked Chennai Super Kings | 51c | 25.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26a9…88fcbacked Mumbai Indians | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0342…d5b2backed Mumbai Indians | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22f0…60a9backed Mumbai Indians | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…f863backed Mumbai Indians | 50c | 21.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a6…a0dabacked Mumbai Indians | 50c | 20.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…b55cbacked Chennai Super Kings | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3022…113cbacked Mumbai Indians | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f18…9e52backed Mumbai Indians | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecc4…7319backed Mumbai Indians | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40c0…4dd8backed Mumbai Indians | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b48…41bbbacked Chennai Super Kings | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e3…f804backed Chennai Super Kings | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…0c6cbacked Mumbai Indians | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df3…c95cbacked Chennai Super Kings | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe43b…0ba7backed Mumbai Indians | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indians - Who wins the toss?this page
- Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai IndiansChennai Super Kings won
- Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indians - Completed match?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.