Cricket · resolved market
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kings - Who wins the toss?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6fd1174956932bd9c7548b3795a4acfa1686fdc6676fdb820bdd48c9c4e8d75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gujarat Titansof Gujarat Titans, Punjab Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,746
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,746 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Gujarat Titans | 47c | 1,715$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913 | 154 | 29.9%46 W · 108 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea8…47aabacked Gujarat Titans | 48c | 1,177$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.3 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3d…3d83backed Punjab Kings | 52c | 1,019$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b66…02edbacked Punjab Kings | 52c | 450$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.5 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f18…9e52backed Gujarat Titans | 51c | 371.89$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.89 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6265…4947backed Punjab Kings | 52c | 339$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.22 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…6deebacked Punjab Kings | 52c | 260.58$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.5 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -7.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7440…aca9backed Gujarat Titans | 45c | 222.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.39 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f75…3018backed Punjab Kings | 53c | 215.5$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.22 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb3…2c62backed Gujarat Titans | 47c | 213.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.22 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Punjab Kings | 55c | 207.93$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.36 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdea7…9df8backed Gujarat Titans | 50c | 204$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecc4…7319backed Punjab Kings | 65c | 200.15$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7549…c7e8backed Punjab Kings | 51c | 199.96$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.98 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5460…15b5backed Punjab Kings | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed Punjab Kings | 52c | 125$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe131…7594backed Punjab Kings | 52c | 119.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d8…1ca6backed Gujarat Titans | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x231a…08b8backed Punjab Kings | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ea…66dbbacked Gujarat Titans | 50c | 91.2$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4d…066dbacked Gujarat Titans | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39e2…d3babacked Punjab Kings | 53c | 71.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…643fbacked Punjab Kings | 50c | 59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 145 | 37.9%55 W · 90 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91f6…6594backed Punjab Kings | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6064…cc6ebacked Gujarat Titans | 50c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1e…f21ebacked Punjab Kings | 53c | 54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a94…a47abacked Punjab Kings | 52c | 37.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee4…13d4backed Punjab Kings | 53c | 33.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Punjab Kings | 44c | 29.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…31f7backed Punjab Kings | 52c | 28.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1409…b36cbacked Punjab Kings | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26a9…88fcbacked Punjab Kings | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22f0…60a9backed Punjab Kings | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e3…f804backed Gujarat Titans | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc66f…50d6backed Punjab Kings | 56c | 19.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kings - Who wins the toss?this page
- Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab KingsGujarat Titans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.