MLB · resolved market

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ec0e7b4d7e4f0941c92310db822fdc11371d6edbd01c393b0bacc8721592501

Rebuilt 1 day ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 9, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $32,091
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $32,168

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,091 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	49c	9,377$4,578 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,799.32	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over	48c	7,786$3,752 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,033.47	1,851	53.1%982 W · 869 L	+18.1wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under	50c	4,729$2,365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,364.54	411	49.1%202 W · 209 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Over	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,500	246	51.6%127 W · 119 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	779	51.1%398 W · 381 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over	48c	2,945$1,414 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,531.65	1,063	48.2%512 W · 551 L	-11.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Under	52c	2,788$1,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,449.61	173	51.4%89 W · 84 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under	52c	1,923$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	116	52.6%61 W · 55 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under	52c	1,841$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$960.13	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under	52c	1,667$867 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$866.66	680	53.2%362 W · 318 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	51c	1,550$795 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$795.03	5,401	50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L	+17.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under	52c	1,346$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	1,660	50.1%832 W · 828 L	-22.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	48c	1,197$575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$574.52	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Over	48c	1,146$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$595.83	877	50.4%442 W · 435 L	+12.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	50c	1,098$549 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$549.16	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under	53c	1,000$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530	1,836	50.8%932 W · 904 L	-3.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under	52c	849.94$442 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$441.97	1,572	48.3%759 W · 813 L	-6.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under	52c	673.08$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	491	58.9%289 W · 202 L	+30.8wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under	53c	648$341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$341.39	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Over	49c	641.43$314 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$327.13	274	52.6%144 W · 130 L	+9.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under	51c	639.37$326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$326.08	299	50.5%151 W · 148 L	-7.0wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Over	48c	557.27$267 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$289.78	383	53.5%205 W · 178 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Under	53c	520$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273	890	53.1%473 W · 417 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ea…66dbbacked Under	52c	386.54$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.13per pick	54cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under	51c	368$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.68	1,521	48.6%739 W · 782 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under	43c	310.85$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.54	3,792	45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L	-5.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over	68c	236$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.52	5,127	54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L	+232.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over	49c	204.98$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.54	1,435	50%717 W · 718 L	+25.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Over	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	1,000	52.4%524 W · 476 L	+5.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under	53c	200$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	1,001	48.3%483 W · 518 L	-15.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c57…40febacked Under	53c	140.19$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.24	215	50.2%108 W · 107 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under	50c	140$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	1,062	49.2%523 W · 539 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over	48c	139$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.91	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	39c	126.85$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.04	5,786	43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L	-192.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ad8…b8dbbacked Under	53c	119.99$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.6	131	46.6%61 W · 70 L	-7.8wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under	52c	111.12$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.78	293	54.9%161 W · 132 L	+9.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Under	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	449	49.2%221 W · 228 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over	45c	93.99$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.69	3,832	42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x55d6…1f24backed Under	52c	83.33$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.33	312	58%181 W · 131 L	+15.0wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1a8…6764backed Over	47c	80.11$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.46	264	38.3%101 W · 163 L	-6.9wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Over	50c	80$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	1,168	49%572 W · 596 L	+17.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under	51c	78$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.16	2,945	47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L	+3.8wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Under	39c	76.92$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	314	49.4%155 W · 159 L	-9.8wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Under	52c	76.92$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	-2.5wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	46c	75.97$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.14	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under	52c	74.08$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.52	362	50.3%182 W · 180 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over	50c	60$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	1,279	51.2%655 W · 624 L	-19.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fba…26dcbacked Under	51c	55$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.05	231	52.8%122 W · 109 L	-8.2wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under	54c	51.43$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.77	1,777	58.4%1,037 W · 740 L	+91.8wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	2,376	49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L	+17.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over	72c	50$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14	2,995	50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L	-36.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Under	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1,498	45.3%678 W · 820 L	-8.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b45…077ebacked Under	63c	47.8$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	61cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over	49c	40.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.82	68	47.1%32 W · 36 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5407…5bbdbacked Under	52c	40$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.8	778	36%280 W · 498 L	-17.2wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb482…e138backed Over	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+39.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Under	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	192	52.6%101 W · 91 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under	52c	37$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.24	781	55.6%434 W · 347 L	+28.9wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f86…404ebacked Under	50c	35$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	105	59%62 W · 43 L	+6.4wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over	48c	34.96$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.29	1,172	49.1%575 W · 597 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under	53c	30$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.9	1,053	47.3%498 W · 555 L	-14.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Under	51c	28$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.28	539	50.6%273 W · 266 L	+16.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe840…733cbacked Under	52c	27.4$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.25	125	41.6%52 W · 73 L	-13.5wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Over	46c	26$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.04	904	46.9%424 W · 480 L	+13.1wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x09a6…252abacked Under	51c	25$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.75	93	59.1%55 W · 38 L	-6.3wins	-0.07per pick	66cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	52c	25$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	1,804	53.8%970 W · 834 L	+17.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7409…9901backed Under	52c	23.08$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.35per pick	68cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Over	55c	21.55$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.7	2,223	55.4%1,231 W · 992 L	+73.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Under	53c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.6	556	43.9%244 W · 312 L	-38.6wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Under	52c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x0d10…5c74backed Under	52c	19.82$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.21	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	+3.1wins	+0.16per pick	52cpaid	+35.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over	80c	19.75$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.95	3,457	51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L	+108.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Over	69c	16.1$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.99	639	54.5%348 W · 291 L	+14.8wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5this page
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh PiratesLos Angeles Dodgers won
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5Over won
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 11.5Over won
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 14.5Over won
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5Over won
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5Over won
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5Over won
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5Over won
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh PiratesYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event