Cricket · resolved market
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giants - Who wins the toss?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8552e6ea643520b05901d84f3f3ed8b9dda8a39d044529c97dc0d8e231ef41e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mumbai Indiansof Mumbai Indians, Lucknow Super Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,642
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,861
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,642 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Mumbai Indians | 52c | 3,388$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.88 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7440…aca9backed Lucknow Super Giants | 48c | 2,093$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.67 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Lucknow Super Giants | 48c | 1,591$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.47 | 154 | 29.9%46 W · 108 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Lucknow Super Giants | 49c | 486.22$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.25 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Mumbai Indians | 52c | 385.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.08 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03a4…4e74backed Lucknow Super Giants | 49c | 232.98$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f75…3018backed Lucknow Super Giants | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd841…64cabacked Mumbai Indians | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47dd…4eafbacked Lucknow Super Giants | 50c | 152$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f18…9e52backed Lucknow Super Giants | 50c | 136$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Lucknow Super Giants | 50c | 114.94$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -7.8wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Mumbai Indians | 48c | 100.43$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.16 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…1eecbacked Lucknow Super Giants | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe43b…0ba7backed Lucknow Super Giants | 50c | 98.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.07 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…6deebacked Mumbai Indians | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -7.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d8…1ca6backed Mumbai Indians | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5460…15b5backed Mumbai Indians | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ea…66dbbacked Lucknow Super Giants | 50c | 91.28$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c0…6b4abacked Lucknow Super Giants | 52c | 90.38$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a7…aae7backed Lucknow Super Giants | 50c | 86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4d…066dbacked Lucknow Super Giants | 50c | 54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6265…4947backed Mumbai Indians | 52c | 51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…d987backed Mumbai Indians | 49c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9af1…df2cbacked Mumbai Indians | 51c | 48.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 111 | 34.2%38 W · 73 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Lucknow Super Giants | 49c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94f4…a74fbacked Lucknow Super Giants | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b64…2216backed Lucknow Super Giants | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…643fbacked Mumbai Indians | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 145 | 37.9%55 W · 90 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95a2…756abacked Mumbai Indians | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6064…cc6ebacked Lucknow Super Giants | 50c | 39.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a94…a47abacked Mumbai Indians | 51c | 30.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd41e…0bb7backed Mumbai Indians | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9e…4f07backed Mumbai Indians | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d1…6bcebacked Lucknow Super Giants | 51c | 24.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8192…0664backed Mumbai Indians | 52c | 23.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…ce77backed Lucknow Super Giants | 50c | 20.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62be…2175backed Lucknow Super Giants | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…0c6cbacked Lucknow Super Giants | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giants - Who wins the toss?this page
- Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super GiantsMumbai Indians won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.