Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming Junior (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6038ca8a96cb7041220f95e6ecd925ffb5b6da0bec82294cfa1b3008db7918f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- T1 Academyof T1 Academy, Bilibili Gaming Junior
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,262
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,419
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,262 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Bilibili Gaming Junior | 26c | 7,286$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,871.61 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed T1 Academy | 74c | 5,712$4,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.8 | 115 | 67.8%78 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Bilibili Gaming Junior | 27c | 3,256$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.63 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Bilibili Gaming Junior | 30c | 2,201$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.87 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked T1 Academy | 78c | 1,917$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.53 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e0…ffbebacked T1 Academy | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 87 | 67.8%59 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed T1 Academy | 69c | 1,010$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.28 | 147 | 61.9%91 W · 56 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked T1 Academy | 75c | 1,005$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.84 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed T1 Academy | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 474 | 55.3%262 W · 212 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Bilibili Gaming Junior | 26c | 929.97$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.76 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed T1 Academy | 74c | 622.97$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.2 | 1,242 | 42.6%529 W · 713 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd70b…dcb1backed T1 Academy | 71c | 504.99$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.45 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Bilibili Gaming Junior | 31c | 484$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.04 | 224 | 52.7%118 W · 106 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe49d…c3dbbacked T1 Academy | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Bilibili Gaming Junior | 25c | 400$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe10c…e7e2backed T1 Academy | 74c | 351.35$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.35 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Bilibili Gaming Junior | 21c | 350$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed T1 Academy | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 423 | 48.2%204 W · 219 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e9…f1ccbacked T1 Academy | 75c | 283.37$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.66 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d28…0d64backed T1 Academy | 73c | 272.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.69 | 151 | 43.7%66 W · 85 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Bilibili Gaming Junior | 27c | 259.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,114 | 35%390 W · 724 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed Bilibili Gaming Junior | 14c | 249.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Bilibili Gaming Junior | 27c | 248$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.04 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc182…1339backed T1 Academy | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked T1 Academy | 74c | 162.16$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 238 | 80.3%191 W · 47 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked T1 Academy | 69c | 160$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -13.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc5…9fcfbacked T1 Academy | 73c | 144.93$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f00…2f63backed T1 Academy | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed T1 Academy | 74c | 114.78$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.84 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked Bilibili Gaming Junior | 15c | 104.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 68 | 11.8%8 W · 60 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0d…2044backed Bilibili Gaming Junior | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Bilibili Gaming Junior | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6748…3c4cbacked Bilibili Gaming Junior | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Bilibili Gaming Junior | 31c | 75.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea2…370cbacked Bilibili Gaming Junior | 24c | 74.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 474 | 34.8%165 W · 309 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88e5…efbbbacked T1 Academy | 73c | 72.45$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4c…c0e3backed T1 Academy | 73c | 72.45$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a73…2366backed T1 Academy | 73c | 71.96$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Bilibili Gaming Junior | 17c | 70.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9b…bc2fbacked T1 Academy | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 520 | 62.3%324 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed T1 Academy | 75c | 59.53$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3b…9ed5backed T1 Academy | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2aa…b2eebacked T1 Academy | 73c | 48.41$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2036…9ebcbacked T1 Academy | 73c | 36.22$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c3…55a3backed T1 Academy | 74c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 115 | 47.8%55 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa231…a91ebacked T1 Academy | 73c | 31.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e38…b4cbbacked T1 Academy | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e8…5289backed T1 Academy | 71c | 22.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 157 | 59.2%93 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…862dbacked T1 Academy | 73c | 16.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1812…c143backed T1 Academy | 74c | 13.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming Junior (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy (BO3) - Asia Masters Group BT1 Academy won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy - Game 1 WinnerT1 Academy won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy - Game 2 WinnerT1 Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.