Lol · resolved market
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95de8c84eb0dd9347da2dcdfdfc8b329fb3cd4c69f1be6da6c67ffb780a52418
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- T1 Academyof Bilibili Gaming Junior, T1 Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,540
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,259
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,540 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6eb0…a15cbacked Bilibili Gaming Junior | 1c | 23,017$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.52 | 85 | 3.5%3 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Bilibili Gaming Junior | 11c | 4,810$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.88 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5809…9868backed Bilibili Gaming Junior | 9c | 4,258$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.37 | 974 | 27.8%271 W · 703 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Bilibili Gaming Junior | 1c | 4,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 592 | 0%0 W · 592 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Bilibili Gaming Junior | 15c | 4,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…7535backed Bilibili Gaming Junior | 8c | 3,589$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.08 | 342 | 37.7%129 W · 213 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Bilibili Gaming Junior | 11c | 3,343$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.87 | 475 | 33.3%158 W · 317 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x017b…1ef4backed Bilibili Gaming Junior | 2c | 2,811$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 154 | 29.9%46 W · 108 L | +15.4wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Bilibili Gaming Junior | 14c | 2,759$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.01 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Bilibili Gaming Junior | 8c | 2,312$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.96 | 329 | 39.8%131 W · 198 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Bilibili Gaming Junior | 11c | 2,244$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.75 | 766 | 39.6%303 W · 463 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Bilibili Gaming Junior | 14c | 2,162$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.46 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Bilibili Gaming Junior | 10c | 1,578$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.06 | 941 | 34.5%325 W · 616 L | +33.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Bilibili Gaming Junior | 9c | 1,356$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.07 | 878 | 44.2%388 W · 490 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked Bilibili Gaming Junior | 1c | 1,100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 305 | 54.8%167 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d1…6a15backed Bilibili Gaming Junior | 17c | 967.77$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 409 | 49.9%204 W · 205 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Bilibili Gaming Junior | 4c | 949.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Bilibili Gaming Junior | 16c | 938$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.08 | 224 | 52.7%118 W · 106 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Bilibili Gaming Junior | 12c | 868.81$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.03 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5de…33b5backed Bilibili Gaming Junior | 12c | 770.75$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.02 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa980…30a1backed Bilibili Gaming Junior | 6c | 717.4$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.53 | 441 | 20%88 W · 353 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Bilibili Gaming Junior | 10c | 663.62$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.09 | 248 | 32.3%80 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Bilibili Gaming Junior | 12c | 615.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.92 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Bilibili Gaming Junior | 11c | 561.89$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.11 | 753 | 42.5%320 W · 433 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked Bilibili Gaming Junior | 9c | 549.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.63 | 671 | 15.4%103 W · 568 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e03…273bbacked Bilibili Gaming Junior | 10c | 528.39$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.07 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +124.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed Bilibili Gaming Junior | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d65…6a04backed Bilibili Gaming Junior | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Bilibili Gaming Junior | 13c | 487.6$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.01 | 478 | 38.7%185 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf301…4ce1backed Bilibili Gaming Junior | 12c | 440.86$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 216 | 22.7%49 W · 167 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Bilibili Gaming Junior | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Bilibili Gaming Junior | 9c | 377.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 377 | 54.1%204 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Bilibili Gaming Junior | 13c | 375$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 487 | 47%229 W · 258 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Bilibili Gaming Junior | 11c | 300.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 1,318 | 47.3%624 W · 694 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Bilibili Gaming Junior | 8c | 288.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 86 | 18.6%16 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Bilibili Gaming Junior | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,114 | 35%390 W · 724 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Bilibili Gaming Junior | 18c | 240$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Bilibili Gaming Junior | 9c | 211.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…bdebbacked Bilibili Gaming Junior | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 203 | 34%69 W · 134 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed Bilibili Gaming Junior | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 757 | 38.6%292 W · 465 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…f7d7backed Bilibili Gaming Junior | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 60 | 11.7%7 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Bilibili Gaming Junior | 13c | 185.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 180 | 46.1%83 W · 97 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked Bilibili Gaming Junior | 9c | 174.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 68 | 11.8%8 W · 60 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Bilibili Gaming Junior | 12c | 172$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 573 | 49.4%283 W · 290 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…0270backed Bilibili Gaming Junior | 12c | 169.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 266 | 39.5%105 W · 161 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Bilibili Gaming Junior | 12c | 167.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | -20.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Bilibili Gaming Junior | 10c | 149.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…4bbabacked Bilibili Gaming Junior | 12c | 139.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6748…3c4cbacked Bilibili Gaming Junior | 16c | 120$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e6…b9f9backed Bilibili Gaming Junior | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 627 | 43.9%275 W · 352 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…7cbcbacked Bilibili Gaming Junior | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…425ebacked T1 Academy | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 139 | 66.9%93 W · 46 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Bilibili Gaming Junior | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4def…06e6backed Bilibili Gaming Junior | 12c | 86.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Bilibili Gaming Junior | 15c | 86.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d94…eb52backed T1 Academy | 80c | 14.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.88 | 323 | 45.5%147 W · 176 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming Junior (+1.5)T1 Academy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy (BO3) - Asia Masters Group BT1 Academy won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy - Game 2 WinnerT1 Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.