MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53454b0a76a8d21f8e3fa31285b2d685f5a36f34c708a0c0038c329d803af4e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,487
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,984
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,487 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 53c | 32,261$17,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,193.94 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Under | 58c | 22,379$12,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,399.19 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 42c | 21,903$9,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,198.79 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 47c | 14,841$6,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,975.07 | 736 | 50.7%373 W · 363 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 47c | 9,496$4,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,463.13 | 792 | 47.5%376 W · 416 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 55c | 5,313$2,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,409.67 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 4,761$2,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,189.83 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Over | 45c | 4,751$2,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,136.51 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 46c | 2,907$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.27 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 49c | 2,363$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.15 | 874 | 53%463 W · 411 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 45c | 2,183$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.46 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 46c | 2,020$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.99 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Over | 47c | 1,667$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.33 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Over | 47c | 1,667$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.33 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 47c | 1,464$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 57c | 1,170$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.1 | 686 | 52.9%363 W · 323 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Under | 55c | 1,111$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.95 | 97 | 66%64 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 356 | 43.5%155 W · 201 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 48c | 1,033$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.61 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 73c | 975$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.25 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 43c | 937.19$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.99 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 47c | 935.36$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.62 | 493 | 58.8%290 W · 203 L | +30.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 46c | 767$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.44 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 26c | 691.96$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.91 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 47c | 600$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +31.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Over | 47c | 599.98$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.99 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Under | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Under | 54c | 450$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 52c | 396$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.09 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 42c | 370.22$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.49 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 58c | 370.22$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.49 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 55c | 332.69$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.38 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 46c | 308.99$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.13 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 73c | 301.64$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.44 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Under | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 47c | 287.91$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.22 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 287.53$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.14 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…efddbacked Over | 49c | 270$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.3 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 43c | 257.15$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.94 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Under | 55c | 236.36$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.36 | 816 | 57.1%466 W · 350 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefd3…bed8backed Under | 54c | 229.98$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.79 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 56c | 224.98$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.99 | 448 | 45.8%205 W · 243 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…af18backed Under | 54c | 223.98$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…24ffbacked Over | 45c | 213.71$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 248 | 43.5%108 W · 140 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Over | 47c | 206.38$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…037fbacked Over | 50c | 201$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 47c | 200$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 2,413 | 49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L | +22.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…79d3backed Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe474…0200backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a0…2c5abacked Under | 54c | 185$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Over | 47c | 178$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.66 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c2…dc0bbacked Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 53c | 168.59$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.32 | 965 | 53%511 W · 454 L | +18.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 47c | 165.95$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.54 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…f5eebacked Under | 53c | 164.15$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.15 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 54c | 146.76$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.61 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb515…7e2bbacked Under | 57c | 137.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.88 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bde…b181backed Under | 53c | 117$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 999 | 47.5%475 W · 524 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…b370backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 197 | 56.3%111 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 53c | 97.2$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.68 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3e…d412backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 72c | 85.73$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…6572backed Under | 57c | 78.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe01b…fa88backed Over | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Over | 45c | 64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 412 | 36.7%151 W · 261 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Over | 47c | 58.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7f…bb6dbacked Over | 46c | 58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 148 | 51.4%76 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Under | 73c | 48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 168 | 51.8%87 W · 81 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce04…dbf6backed Under | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 45c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 1,819 | 49.3%896 W · 923 L | -24.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…f6c9backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 357 | 47.6%170 W · 187 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 66c | 35.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 1,212 | 50%606 W · 606 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 838 | 54.7%458 W · 380 L | +29.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d5…1ca9backed Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 54c | 32.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Under | 55c | 28.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 425 | 48.2%205 W · 220 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…6540backed Under | 52c | 28.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 148 | 48.6%72 W · 76 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 55c | 28.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 445 | 53.5%238 W · 207 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 46c | 26.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 570 | 58.4%333 W · 237 L | +27.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…7c0dbacked Over | 45c | 26.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 289 | 48.1%139 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…5043backed Under | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x874d…7fd8backed Under | 57c | 25.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 53c | 24.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 273 | 45.4%124 W · 149 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3443…64e9backed Under | 79c | 24.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 70 | 80%56 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…7ce5backed Over | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked Under | 63c | 23.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 53c | 20.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Under | 54c | 20.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe50c…8d26backed Under | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5this page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York YankeesNew York Yankees won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York YankeesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.