TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Texas Rangers vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,613
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,298

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,613 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over46c31,394$14,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,392.7171650.7%363 W · 353 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under54c20,006$10,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,202.734,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under54c16,168$8,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,444.0411,35652.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L+209.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8606…db26backed Under54c10,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,600666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over48c7,407$3,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,586.5310,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78cc…a081backed Under48c4,128$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,127.666446.9%30 W · 34 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Under57c2,455$1,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.5348952.8%258 W · 231 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Over46c2,174$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00039953.6%214 W · 185 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Over46c2,174$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00038551.4%198 W · 187 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over49c2,027$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.732,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over50c1,918$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.938,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Under54c1,849$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.6986653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked Under53c1,671$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.2536048.6%175 W · 185 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over46c1,360$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.63,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over44c1,123$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.851,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over46c1,024$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.042,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under63c868$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.778,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over45c864.56$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.966,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa71d…9854backed Over46c627.08$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.194531.1%14 W · 31 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under58c497.91$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.124,47748.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L-47.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under54c471.66$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.531,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over46c403.44$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.415,40050.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L+17.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8a0…2c5abacked Over42c365.48$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1471,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1261,20653.7%648 W · 558 L+29.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over43c285$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.952,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Over46c279$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.341,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over46c276$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.5854642.5%232 W · 314 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under52c264.98$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.191,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fe…db0dbacked Over46c262.06$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.5258352.1%304 W · 279 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebf3…50a8backed Over46c208.33$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.834231%13 W · 29 L-5.7wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-29%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x021a…d3aebacked Over49c202.79$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.374422.7%10 W · 34 L-8.6wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-52%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Over8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1616846.4%78 W · 90 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over47c197.52$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.838,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d4…6b58backed Under56c196.33$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.333360.6%20 W · 13 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x49c5…3de7backed Over44c192.76$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.4334149.3%168 W · 173 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Over41c174.71$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.681,05644.3%468 W · 588 L-25.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Over48c166.67$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801,16749%572 W · 595 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under54c155.28$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.132,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over44c150$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.62,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Over43c134$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0322352.5%117 W · 106 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over47c122.04$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.463,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under55c119.99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5477050.5%389 W · 381 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under78c114$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.014,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bb8…7017backed Over46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013344.4%59 W · 74 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf15…a1febacked Over46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015147.7%72 W · 79 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b94…09dcbacked Over46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011441.2%47 W · 67 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd577…c012backed Over46c104.16$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9114645.9%67 W · 79 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7218…ea41backed Over46c104.16$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.914332.6%14 W · 29 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf04b…049abacked Over46c104.16$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.914129.3%12 W · 29 L-6.4wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-32.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7a41…f527backed Over46c104.16$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.914131.7%13 W · 28 L-5.2wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4599447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4578754.6%430 W · 357 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9deb…536fbacked Over42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425655.4%31 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Over44c98$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1746444.4%206 W · 258 L-18.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Over42c95.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013152.7%69 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43ed…6232backed Over49c79.57$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8418244.5%81 W · 101 L-14.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-21.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Under55c74.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6917647.2%83 W · 93 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x282b…cc76backed Over46c72.91$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5412646.8%59 W · 67 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Under55c72.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7341249.5%204 W · 208 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x641d…eeedbacked Under54c72.58$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.395851.7%30 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Under53c71.7$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4647852.3%250 W · 228 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under54c71.36$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8344451.1%227 W · 217 L+1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over46c52.11$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.772,94447.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L+4.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd6…cfdebacked Over46c52.08$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.964332.6%14 W · 29 L-5.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over54c49.31$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.631,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Over45c47.27$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2756253.2%299 W · 263 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e9e…4a0abacked Under55c47.27$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.272250%11 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e4a…4efebacked Over43c46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.987546.7%35 W · 40 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe91c…0cf9backed Over44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-47.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under62c45$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.170737.6%266 W · 441 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde36…f41cbacked Over46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015841.8%66 W · 92 L-12.7wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf2d5…ab77backed Over46c43.47$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202030%6 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-33.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over34c43.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.732,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x232f…8002backed Over46c42.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.63026.7%8 W · 22 L-5.4wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-39.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa1fd…9994backed Over45c42.55$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.152825%7 W · 21 L-5.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-43.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over54c42$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.681,91153.1%1,014 W · 897 L+43.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc915…2b84backed Over46c41.66$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.162425%6 W · 18 L-4.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-43.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb9a9…68b6backed Over45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184746.8%22 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf766…9251backed Under78c38.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.471,46463.5%929 W · 535 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under48c36.6$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193,45651.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L+107.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba5e…153bbacked Over46c34.41$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1611550.4%58 W · 57 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Under55c33.12$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.991,24556.9%708 W · 537 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x256a…8fb4backed Over45c29.78$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.42123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.5wins-0.21per pick45cpaid-46.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Under54c29.48$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4721547%101 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Over51c27.58$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+32.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe50c…8d26backed Over42c23.81$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x06fa…d071backed Under66c17.38$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.857742.9%33 W · 44 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.