TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Texas Rangers vs. Athletics

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Athleticsof Texas Rangers, Athletics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$471,967
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$475,468

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $471,967 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 264 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Athletics46c156,666$72,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84,599.41,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Texas Rangers55c37,677$20,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,725.686548.7%421 W · 444 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Athletics45c36,794$16,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,236.4655053.1%292 W · 258 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Athletics45c30,000$13,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,499.9977053.9%415 W · 355 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Texas Rangers52c25,341$13,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,109.5911,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Texas Rangers54c22,837$12,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,375.293,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf438…9559backed Athletics45c20,000$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,0004949%24 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4a7…4a1dbacked Texas Rangers47c20,000$9,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,400933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-39.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41b4…10dabacked Athletics47c16,000$7,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,524.5619950.3%100 W · 99 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Athletics62c15,502$9,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,894.162,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Texas Rangers55c15,000$8,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,1755,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf958…db13backed Texas Rangers55c15,000$8,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,249.994942.9%21 W · 28 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Texas Rangers54c12,996$7,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,017.996,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x264a…55d4backed Texas Rangers33c11,111$3,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,666.6220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Texas Rangers54c11,000$5,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,94045748.6%222 W · 235 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x30c1…9f91backed Texas Rangers54c10,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,40012343.1%53 W · 70 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Texas Rangers52c8,387$4,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,361.243554%235 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9a6…0009backed Texas Rangers2c8,245$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.366839.7%27 W · 41 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Texas Rangers54c6,935$3,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,744.751,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Texas Rangers41c6,891$2,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,822.8495045.2%429 W · 521 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Texas Rangers55c6,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3001,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Texas Rangers54c6,000$3,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,24045252.4%237 W · 215 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb035…ff78backed Athletics42c5,764$2,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,342.08922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick46cpaid-53.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Texas Rangers54c5,297$2,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,860.4671650.7%363 W · 353 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Texas Rangers55c5,000$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,75048952.8%258 W · 231 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Athletics56c4,232$2,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,869.2433554%181 W · 154 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Athletics44c4,200$1,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,352.084,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Texas Rangers51c4,020$2,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,051.678,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Texas Rangers55c3,987$2,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,192.9289153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Texas Rangers54c3,903$2,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,119.251,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Texas Rangers54c3,689$1,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,992.1873949.8%368 W · 371 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Texas Rangers54c3,689$1,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,992.1879255.6%440 W · 352 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54d0…8e20backed Texas Rangers56c3,571$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00032157%183 W · 138 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Athletics46c3,432$1,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,853.3628751.9%149 W · 138 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Texas Rangers54c3,277$1,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,779.011,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Texas Rangers50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50011548.7%56 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ee0…d6a6backed Athletics58c2,180$1,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.411464%73 W · 41 L+12.6wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+23.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6451…b57abacked Athletics46c2,161$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.4314841.2%61 W · 87 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Texas Rangers43c2,151$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.128,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Athletics46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08038353.5%205 W · 178 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Texas Rangers54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08030647.4%145 W · 161 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked Texas Rangers54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.9928753.3%153 W · 134 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x73f6…a10abacked Texas Rangers54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.9817150.3%86 W · 85 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Texas Rangers54c1,996$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,083.121,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Texas Rangers49c1,984$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.2819051.1%97 W · 93 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+21%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Texas Rangers54c1,804$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.041,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec95…a2dcbacked Texas Rangers54c1,638$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.585451.9%28 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Texas Rangers54c1,600$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86464452.2%336 W · 308 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Texas Rangers55c1,560$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.1439953.6%214 W · 185 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Texas Rangers55c1,527$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8409642.7%41 W · 55 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Texas Rangers54c1,305$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.856,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x425d…86e1backed Texas Rangers9c1,250$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1174814.6%7 W · 41 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick17cpaid+10.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Athletics50c1,229$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.7231957.4%183 W · 136 L+23.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5633…59bcbacked Texas Rangers54c1,200$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64827952%145 W · 134 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Athletics53c1,163$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.6561947.7%295 W · 324 L-1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe6c…a2c3backed Athletics50c1,155$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.662050%10 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5944…764ebacked Texas Rangers45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Athletics75c1,034$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.2412,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Texas Rangers21c1,021$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.779,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8efa…894cbacked Texas Rangers54c1,003$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.6245445.2%205 W · 249 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Texas Rangers54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5401,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked Texas Rangers54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54029046.6%135 W · 155 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x568d…9a05backed Texas Rangers49c1,000$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.93540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed Texas Rangers54c983$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.826043.3%26 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe09b…cfbcbacked Athletics52c960.62$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Texas Rangers54c946.85$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.392046%423 W · 497 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Texas Rangers54c909.74$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.261,03851.7%537 W · 501 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Athletics46c888.89$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48087750.4%442 W · 435 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Athletics46c888.45$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.7656253.2%299 W · 263 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Athletics51c860.01$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.4410,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Texas Rangers54c849$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.461,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc313…e128backed Texas Rangers34c794.21$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27137941.2%156 W · 223 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4829…2e7cbacked Texas Rangers54c773.14$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Texas Rangers15c750$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.594034.3%322 W · 618 L-2.8wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed99…2677backed Texas Rangers50c732$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3661662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Texas Rangers54c705$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.052,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Texas Rangers12c653.65$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.432,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15e9…26bebacked Texas Rangers49c649.98$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.491346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff19…3ebebacked Texas Rangers54c649.81$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.940447.8%193 W · 211 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Texas Rangers54c604.36$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.3516845.8%77 W · 91 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Texas Rangers54c600.91$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.4955653.4%297 W · 259 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Texas Rangers54c555.15$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.781,73349%849 W · 884 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d23…251cbacked Texas Rangers54c555.15$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.7811751.3%60 W · 57 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Texas Rangers55c550$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.51,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Texas Rangers39c544$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.1679442.4%337 W · 457 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Athletics54c535$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.166050.2%331 W · 329 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe66f…0f3ebacked Texas Rangers54c519.86$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.724355.8%24 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed Athletics46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2709048.9%44 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb46…48efbacked Texas Rangers54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27013848.6%67 W · 71 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Texas Rangers54c472$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.882,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Texas Rangers45c419.7$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.192,14439.6%849 W · 1,295 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad54…006abacked Texas Rangers55c409.09$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22558060.5%351 W · 229 L+30.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ebb…2b75backed Texas Rangers54c409.09$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.918148.1%39 W · 42 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Texas Rangers54c391.24$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.741,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Texas Rangers47c386.68$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18031052.6%163 W · 147 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Athletics55c364.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.0412759.1%75 W · 52 L+9.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b50…87fbbacked Texas Rangers56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-39.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf92a…80a7backed Athletics54c353.9$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.435666.1%37 W · 19 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+36.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Athletics60c333.38$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3834756.5%196 W · 151 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Texas Rangers54c330.51$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.482050%10 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.