Tennis · resolved market
ITF Guimaraes: Katherine Sebov vs Chelsea Fontenel
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38a9e4a8702336770cf76c15e0750b4a478e0299335061439d3ba1eb635e97af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Katherine Sebovof Katherine Sebov, Chelsea Fontenel
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,477
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,477 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Chelsea Fontenel | 13c | 1,034$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.47 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4538…7d5cbacked Chelsea Fontenel | 28c | 822.32$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.2 | 177 | 38.4%68 W · 109 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Chelsea Fontenel | 13c | 712.43$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.27 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Chelsea Fontenel | 16c | 572.38$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.58 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chelsea Fontenel | 9c | 559.12$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.54 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Chelsea Fontenel | 20c | 557.81$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.1 | 1,730 | 52.2%903 W · 827 L | -8.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Katherine Sebov | 79c | 489.41$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Chelsea Fontenel | 19c | 472.2$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.72 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Chelsea Fontenel | 6c | 454.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 1,381 | 16.4%227 W · 1,154 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Chelsea Fontenel | 21c | 299.66$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.93 | 288 | 35.1%101 W · 187 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Chelsea Fontenel | 13c | 258.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4e…6b67backed Chelsea Fontenel | 6c | 253.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Katherine Sebov | 76c | 185.8$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.71 | 900 | 64.3%579 W · 321 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Chelsea Fontenel | 13c | 180.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chelsea Fontenel | 12c | 163.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Chelsea Fontenel | 13c | 134.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Chelsea Fontenel | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 897 | 54.6%490 W · 407 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Chelsea Fontenel | 21c | 103$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 1,842 | 41%755 W · 1,087 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Chelsea Fontenel | 16c | 87.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 956 | 55.9%534 W · 422 L | +19.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d38…71efbacked Chelsea Fontenel | 19c | 80.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Katherine Sebov | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 694 | 29.8%207 W · 487 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Katherine Sebov | 74c | 24.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Katherine Sebov | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.