NHL · resolved market
Rangers vs. Jets: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd970285fa33dead45321dce7f57542ba538299f45137246bf74bc5b1d8944631
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,740
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,740 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 49c | 2,222$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.22 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Under | 51c | 1,574$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.86 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 51c | 1,543$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.96 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 1,325$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.41 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 47c | 1,313$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.84 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.26 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 42c | 659$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.22 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 649.38$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.69 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 65c | 646$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.1 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x261e…f054backed Over | 50c | 391.58$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59c2…32cbbacked Under | 50c | 361$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc38…8bd0backed Under | 50c | 355.99$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c6…a60dbacked Over | 50c | 325.42$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…9ae9backed Over | 49c | 202.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.12 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 48c | 114$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.7 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9423…bba6backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…0815backed Over | 50c | 99.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…77e9backed Under | 51c | 95.07$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.63 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 49c | 78$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…9bb2backed Under | 35c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…d87bbacked Under | 51c | 64.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 58c | 64$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1adb…f12abacked Under | 51c | 56.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…e738backed Over | 50c | 56.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Under | 57c | 55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 349 | 49.9%174 W · 175 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 54c | 52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d38…71efbacked Over | 70c | 42.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 50c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Over | 51c | 39.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 50c | 38.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 355 | 53%188 W · 167 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 51c | 38.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Over | 50c | 31.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 156 | 51.3%80 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 38c | 31.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 57c | 23.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Under | 50c | 20.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rangers vs. Jets: O/U 5.5this page
- Rangers vs. JetsRangers won
- Rangers vs. Jets: O/U 4.5Over won
- Rangers vs. Jets: O/U 6.5Over won
- Rangers vs. Jets: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Jets (-1.5)Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.