Tennis · resolved market
Palermo: Francesca Jones vs Miriam Bulgaru
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfb24a61e5675631db4a0a51151a72a28eaacce69fc1bb0f6658097b96da7609
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Francesca Jonesof Francesca Jones, Miriam Bulgaru
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $196,634
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $206,335
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $196,634 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Miriam Bulgaru | 11c | 137,821$15,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,100.61 | 744 | 39.8%296 W · 448 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Miriam Bulgaru | 16c | 2,856$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Miriam Bulgaru | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 483 | 31.1%150 W · 333 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Miriam Bulgaru | 6c | 857.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 323 | 29.7%96 W · 227 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Miriam Bulgaru | 5c | 833.24$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Miriam Bulgaru | 8c | 823.57$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.89 | 747 | 43.6%326 W · 421 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Miriam Bulgaru | 2c | 770$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Miriam Bulgaru | 12c | 645.5$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.46 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Miriam Bulgaru | 12c | 521.3$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.98 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Miriam Bulgaru | 17c | 455$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.35 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Miriam Bulgaru | 9c | 382.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Miriam Bulgaru | 10c | 381.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a51…1e9fbacked Miriam Bulgaru | 15c | 333.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.71 | 218 | 42.2%92 W · 126 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…377ebacked Miriam Bulgaru | 16c | 332.88$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.78 | 249 | 18.5%46 W · 203 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9a…3333backed Miriam Bulgaru | 7c | 330.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Miriam Bulgaru | 12c | 329.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Miriam Bulgaru | 14c | 325.08$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.36 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc13…cbcabacked Miriam Bulgaru | 9c | 320.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x065c…47debacked Miriam Bulgaru | 12c | 272.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Miriam Bulgaru | 9c | 231$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Miriam Bulgaru | 12c | 222.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Miriam Bulgaru | 7c | 219.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c0…22ebbacked Miriam Bulgaru | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 405 | 27.2%110 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Miriam Bulgaru | 13c | 150.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 195 | 37.4%73 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Miriam Bulgaru | 12c | 146$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Miriam Bulgaru | 8c | 126.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf4…7e67backed Miriam Bulgaru | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +10.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe35…6789backed Miriam Bulgaru | 17c | 123.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5276…800dbacked Miriam Bulgaru | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Miriam Bulgaru | 14c | 93.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Miriam Bulgaru | 12c | 88.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.