Cricket · resolved market
Will Shubman Gill win the 2026 IPL Orange Cap?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b7b1087838bf8a1947fcfed7b1e77e3a341eec0d7a7cbfa0df00402669a0950
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,804
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,804 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x55d5…7b83backed Yes | 26c | 1,457$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…4434backed No | 74c | 919.5$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.15 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 25cpaid | +301.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x611c…7d40backed Yes | 26c | 894.5$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dba…0c23backed No | 74c | 625.4$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +315.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5276…800dbacked Yes | 9c | 622.2$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.56 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f496backed Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 6c | 417.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 14c | 416.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.86 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 7c | 341$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 71c | 285.89$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x810a…0c04backed Yes | 19c | 211.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x384f…58adbacked Yes | 32c | 156.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3b…4a04backed Yes | 47c | 134.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.02 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5084…7cf2backed Yes | 25c | 121.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 62c | 120$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b7…3629backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 63c | 86.44$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8277…d288backed Yes | 27c | 77.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e7…dcdfbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 62c | 57.27$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…59f0backed Yes | 29c | 51.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 73c | 46.13$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc928…3493backed Yes | 25c | 41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41bc…6e55backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe711…6b84backed Yes | 36c | 37.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 72c | 27.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 78c | 24.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7b…d463backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 73c | 18.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 78c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.51 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0c…ca14backed No | 73c | 15.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +12.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe38b…8996backed No | 74c | 14.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shubman Gill win the 2026 IPL Orange Cap?this page
- Will Heinrich Klaasen win the 2026 IPL Orange Cap?No won
- Will Ishan Kishan win the 2026 IPL Orange Cap?No won
- Will Sai Sudharsan win the 2026 IPL Orange Cap?No won
- Will Vaibhav Sooryavanshi win the 2026 IPL Orange Cap?Yes won
- Will Virat Kohli win the 2026 IPL Orange Cap?No won
- Will Yashasvi Jaiswal win the 2026 IPL Orange Cap?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.