Cricket · resolved market
Will Vaibhav Sooryavanshi win the 2026 IPL Orange Cap?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3717c8ca2cbc1acd035da38c0bf1a7696189f43de38d0cc7591e697d9c7fa5f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,137
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,137 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes | 75c | 2,177$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.35 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9283…449dbacked No | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed Yes | 29c | 1,177$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.14 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2251…bf89backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 28c | 380.12$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -68%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 46c | 335.9$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ff…879cbacked Yes | 47c | 241.98$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.9 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8984…323abacked No | 79c | 177.39$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…450ebacked No | 44c | 169.05$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.57 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked Yes | 56c | 159.99$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.99 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed Yes | 78c | 137.67$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.57 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 11c | 135$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a1…e821backed Yes | 79c | 126.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 235 | 55.3%130 W · 105 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3b…4a04backed Yes | 60c | 120.89$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.79 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 38c | 119.74$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -57%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 54c | 116$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…715abacked Yes | 55c | 109.3$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadc3…6371backed Yes | 48c | 103.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0c…ca14backed Yes | 11c | 96.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.6 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +12.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x810a…0c04backed No | 52c | 87.43$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7737…7851backed No | 37c | 71.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…3ec3backed Yes | 24c | 64.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 55cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked No | 54c | 63.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 47c | 60.59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 47c | 56.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d79…2f2fbacked No | 40c | 55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 67c | 52.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.71 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…78a1backed Yes | 50c | 50.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…0665backed No | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 128 | 39.1%50 W · 78 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…26ffbacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -75%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f32…7ac4backed Yes | 57c | 49.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5084…7cf2backed Yes | 62c | 48.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 43c | 47.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 52c | 36.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5276…800dbacked No | 47c | 35.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…b0b1backed No | 44c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0497…c5e3backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe450…91b9backed Yes | 43c | 29.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d4…909bbacked Yes | 39c | 28.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f93…d39cbacked No | 49c | 24.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 44c | 24.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 53c | 22.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7b…d463backed No | 54c | 21.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 62c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 51c | 20.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…2f15backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 74c | 15.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vaibhav Sooryavanshi win the 2026 IPL Orange Cap?this page
- Will Heinrich Klaasen win the 2026 IPL Orange Cap?No won
- Will Ishan Kishan win the 2026 IPL Orange Cap?No won
- Will Sai Sudharsan win the 2026 IPL Orange Cap?No won
- Will Shubman Gill win the 2026 IPL Orange Cap?No won
- Will Virat Kohli win the 2026 IPL Orange Cap?No won
- Will Yashasvi Jaiswal win the 2026 IPL Orange Cap?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.