Cricket · resolved market
Will Sai Sudharsan win the 2026 IPL Orange Cap?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe68b5fbaca7f16a804864a31f1480a998dfe73a801589c5189041eaa556bd26e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,273
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,693
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,273 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 18c | 650.01$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.02 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f496backed Yes | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 77c | 333.85$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked Yes | 13c | 250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 11c | 248.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5276…800dbacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 8c | 183$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…4434backed No | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 25cpaid | +301.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…715abacked Yes | 19c | 139.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0c…ca14backed Yes | 11c | 116.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +12.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5084…7cf2backed Yes | 30c | 101.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 77c | 72$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x810a…0c04backed Yes | 31c | 65.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc2…4630backed No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 79c | 56.13$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 79c | 38.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 76c | 33.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 78c | 24.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked No | 67c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 74c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d2…38ccbacked No | 78c | 16.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sai Sudharsan win the 2026 IPL Orange Cap?this page
- Will Heinrich Klaasen win the 2026 IPL Orange Cap?No won
- Will Ishan Kishan win the 2026 IPL Orange Cap?No won
- Will Shubman Gill win the 2026 IPL Orange Cap?No won
- Will Vaibhav Sooryavanshi win the 2026 IPL Orange Cap?Yes won
- Will Virat Kohli win the 2026 IPL Orange Cap?No won
- Will Yashasvi Jaiswal win the 2026 IPL Orange Cap?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.