Commodities · resolved market
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2a870ec087f586c10dd18dc9e21656268ef64736b9ac89a68b53822dcd768bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Downof Up, Down
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $124,694
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,694 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Up | 75c | 10,500$7,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,919.99 | 942 | 40.2%379 W · 563 L | -69.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Down | 36c | 7,415$2,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,760.44 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…6872backed Up | 63c | 5,326$3,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,356.87 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f3…844ebacked Down | 18c | 3,638$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,965.6 | 308 | 39%120 W · 188 L | +20.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…3ec3backed Up | 1c | 3,047$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 292 | 64%187 W · 105 L | +47.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Up | 10c | 2,290$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.82 | 95 | 6.3%6 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Down | 44c | 2,104$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.62 | 310 | 34.8%108 W · 202 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e1…0458backed Up | 50c | 1,920$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.71 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…90bbbacked Down | 54c | 1,819$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.84 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e58…4344backed Up | 48c | 1,721$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.21 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Up | 67c | 1,656$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.42 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…3ff6backed Down | 49c | 1,259$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.19 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Up | 42c | 1,245$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6955…867abacked Up | 2c | 1,200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a17…8df6backed Up | 72c | 1,086$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.81 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…6cd3backed Down | 67c | 1,004$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.46 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf1…86b5backed Down | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b8…0d21backed Down | 40c | 958.54$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.89 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Up | 53c | 900$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Up | 69c | 838.62$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.63 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedcc…4d5ebacked Down | 13c | 830.97$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.68 | 154 | 21.4%33 W · 121 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x269e…4dcbbacked Down | 38c | 822.78$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +46%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Up | 3c | 792.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 1,032 | 9.3%96 W · 936 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe286…7735backed Down | 68c | 782.04$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -51%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…17f4backed Down | 49c | 759$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.09 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed Down | 18c | 732.7$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.83 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c32…d685backed Up | 71c | 712.12$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6dc…12ecbacked Up | 48c | 687.41$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.17 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa796…cd33backed Up | 50c | 686.72$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4a…8a46backed Up | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | -11.3wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe215…a3d9backed Up | 78c | 587.45$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc040…beacbacked Up | 40c | 570.8$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.32 | 79 | 32.9%26 W · 53 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed Up | 36c | 524.91$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.1 | 1,286 | 24.2%311 W · 975 L | -58.4wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -45%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…185bbacked Down | 41c | 446.1$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.28 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd78…837bbacked Up | 56c | 444.46$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfac2…f35fbacked Down | 68c | 425.63$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.85 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked Up | 51c | 421.53$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.71 | 150 | 20.7%31 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3221…f1bebacked Up | 4c | 416.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cc…015bbacked Up | 54c | 400$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08bf…df57backed Up | 74c | 395.08$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.7 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 72cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd71c…20b3backed Down | 36c | 349.43$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.13 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…bf99backed Up | 7c | 344.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf76a…b506backed Up | 70c | 334.55$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.99 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed Down | 31c | 321$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.77 | 94 | 22.3%21 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10e8…fdaabacked Down | 25c | 302.58$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…c3bcbacked Down | 57c | 301.91$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.98 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cff…97f7backed Down | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6349…6713backed Down | 42c | 296.87$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.17 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…4c62backed Up | 75c | 270.38$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.01 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xced4…5055backed Down | 18c | 265.16$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.89 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ea…464cbacked Up | 67c | 253$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.52 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x11e7…f559backed Down | 32c | 235.62$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.15 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa719…0f74backed Up | 34c | 209$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.79 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15e1…1b3dbacked Up | 49c | 204$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Down | 32c | 202$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.43 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…5e20backed Down | 21c | 200$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c12…3d74backed Down | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aac…9603backed Down | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd658…2003backed Up | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd640…480cbacked Down | 17c | 192.95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.15 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204b…8ca3backed Down | 65c | 165.47$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.44 | 369 | 50.7%187 W · 182 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe62c…adc5backed Down | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…f61ebacked Down | 34c | 146.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.19 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Down | 48c | 142$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.84 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2651…3471backed Down | 19c | 107.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.79 | 305 | 43.6%133 W · 172 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Down | 50c | 104$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1,051 | 34.7%365 W · 686 L | -93.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae79…5322backed Up | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Up | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5276…800dbacked Down | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…5bd3backed Down | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…3296backed Down | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 256 | 61.3%157 W · 99 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c96…9366backed Down | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b3…3ffebacked Down | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fd…bc8abacked Down | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9b…ab53backed Down | 31c | 94.32$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…6415backed Down | 46c | 74.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.78 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | -10.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1b…63ddbacked Up | 29c | 74.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc8…adf7backed Up | 62c | 74.04$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.66 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07a9…2ab0backed Up | 55c | 54.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81d1…b42cbacked Down | 50c | 54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…1e3bbacked Down | 65c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…857ebacked Down | 70c | 45.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabcf…17b7backed Up | 65c | 44.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd15a…80dbbacked Up | 64c | 43.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Down | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 38 | 84.2%32 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 73cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69f4…43ddbacked Down | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked Down | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef4…be5dbacked Up | 71c | 39.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb48…17d7backed Up | 79c | 36.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b7…ee5dbacked Up | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41e…5aa1backed Up | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc044…2d08backed Up | 58c | 18.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.