Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cb8e78c66c8f72afdac3b45d338d4d6f4072165ed8a2a8baab749621e5d6fb2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,602
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,514
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,602 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5276…800dbacked Yes | 68c | 594.01$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.64 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 43c | 336.47$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.18 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 49c | 326.38$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.9 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a6…9e63backed Yes | 23c | 219.61$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.26 | 332 | 32.8%109 W · 223 L | +18.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…7508backed Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.31 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 26c | 199.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.47 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3a…3df7backed No | 63c | 192.96$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.13 | 452 | 53.3%241 W · 211 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 53c | 191.77$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.69 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 64c | 158.63$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.02 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 41c | 151$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.97 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 46c | 149.89$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.37 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x30fe…74bcbacked Yes | 26c | 141$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.78 | 186 | 71%132 W · 54 L | +19.2wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc179…5cdebacked Yes | 37c | 135.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.81 | 289 | 46%133 W · 156 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 45c | 131$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.95 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 28c | 130.53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.38 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 20c | 128.84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 70c | 125.3$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.26 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 67c | 124.88$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.28 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 29c | 124.28$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed No | 65c | 117.08$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.2 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 33c | 108.66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.27 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked No | 66c | 108.28$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.34 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…f5c2backed Yes | 33c | 105.6$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba3…737cbacked Yes | 33c | 105.6$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9484…a173backed Yes | 43c | 103.87$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.21 | 130 | 25.4%33 W · 97 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 21c | 103.14$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.75 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb501…9a53backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.44 | 175 | 36%63 W · 112 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 35c | 89.25$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.69 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 29c | 86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked Yes | 24c | 84.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.01 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3c65backed No | 65c | 83$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.95 | 444 | 65.3%290 W · 154 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 21c | 71.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74b8…4ec2backed Yes | 24c | 66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.2 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cd…eaecbacked Yes | 53c | 61.69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.76 | 146 | 60.3%88 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…5808backed Yes | 25c | 59.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 405 | 35.6%144 W · 261 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 21c | 59.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 31c | 59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.77 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed No | 65c | 57$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 257 | 66.1%170 W · 87 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…1008backed Yes | 24c | 54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 333 | 50.2%167 W · 166 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 61c | 53.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…66b4backed No | 66c | 52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c4…9c93backed Yes | 34c | 52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 79c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…d6d0backed Yes | 40c | 49.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 25c | 46.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.08 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed No | 64c | 46.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…1e6dbacked Yes | 24c | 41.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 327 | 38.2%125 W · 202 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e1…1b3dbacked No | 71c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 53c | 36.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 63c | 32.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 51c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…4053backed No | 73c | 32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5937…ae8dbacked Yes | 57c | 31.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 185 | 67.6%125 W · 60 L | +28.7wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2dca…4bc5backed No | 79c | 31.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09a7…5b77backed Yes | 44c | 28.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 60c | 27.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 74c | 26.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfddf…1686backed No | 61c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 641 | 67.6%433 W · 208 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 55c | 25.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ed…9d98backed Yes | 79c | 25.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 822 | 68.7%565 W · 257 L | +72.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 48c | 25.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 926 | 2.5%23 W · 903 L | -379.9wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 6-0.40 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Yes | 66c | 25.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 1,090 | 74.2%809 W · 281 L | +179.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 70c | 24.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…e682backed No | 65c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 258 | 68.2%176 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcff7…2fb1backed No | 57c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0f…085cbacked Yes | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 616 | 76.3%470 W · 146 L | +92.4wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x997a…4cbebacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 195 | 65.6%128 W · 67 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 1,088 | 55.5%604 W · 484 L | -27.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd31d…f8bfbacked No | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…e6cfbacked No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 138 | 62.3%86 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c1…a400backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 80c | 19.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 481 | 49.5%238 W · 243 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 74c | 18.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 74c | 17.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 74c | 17.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0558…a8cdbacked No | 60c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 118 | 67.8%80 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 70c | 16.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked No | 68c | 16.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 1,211 | 29.8%361 W · 850 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf045…c619backed No | 78c | 15.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 80c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e0…e538backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 20?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on June 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on June 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on June 20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.