CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs HAVU - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6281e6f608bc1c60fe322ad0fd5b69cae7dbd7fd626af65fe1c806e1755b391
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HAVUof ex-Zero Tenacity, HAVU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,417 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 66c | 5,900$3,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,904.61 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed HAVU | 47c | 4,790$2,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,542.67 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 71c | 4,171$2,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,954.15 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab80…ffc0backed HAVU | 14c | 3,558$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,058.05 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 72c | 2,688$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939.99 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…251cbacked HAVU | 31c | 1,700$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 66c | 1,558$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.14 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked HAVU | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed HAVU | 43c | 1,379$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.26 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed HAVU | 58c | 974.15$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.39 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 53c | 794.93$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.31 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked HAVU | 43c | 662.8$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.73 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…d51cbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 9c | 525.45$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61a5…caa6backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 57c | 301.1$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.96 | 219 | 39.7%87 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 68c | 283.45$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.36 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed HAVU | 20c | 240$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.72 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed HAVU | 31c | 236.95$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.61 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 69c | 215.07$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.7 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 55c | 197$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.52 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 55c | 165.91$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.25 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed HAVU | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed HAVU | 25c | 97.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5276…800dbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 67c | 77.84$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed HAVU | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe980…57c9backed HAVU | 50c | 69.53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa62c…a3c1backed HAVU | 50c | 69.39$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.97 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 77c | 64.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x171f…d613backed HAVU | 49c | 60.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.18 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b1…81b5backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed HAVU | 37c | 33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…749cbacked HAVU | 49c | 26.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab20…6b17backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 80c | 22.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 54c | 22.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…7d23backed HAVU | 49c | 20.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs HAVU - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs HAVU (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 PlayoffsHAVU won
- Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs HAVU - Map 1 Winnerex-Zero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.