MLB · resolved market
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64ebbd7141c7cfb58d82919c1b8aba90872c1d9a55e4b3b898df217fdcaf8560
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,462
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,508
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,462 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 48c | 50,555$24,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,266.4 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f21…0ec5backed Under | 52c | 50,000$26,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,999.99 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Under | 54c | 1,402$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.53 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 17c | 876.21$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.55 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 42c | 867.7$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.56 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 52c | 793.71$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.92 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 48c | 644.51$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.36 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 46c | 559.49$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.37 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 47c | 450$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.5 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Under | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 35c | 392.34$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.87 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 63c | 317.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.77 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e35…fe8cbacked Under | 60c | 278.73$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.49 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -9.2wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Under | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 78c | 256.41$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.97 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Over | 48c | 230$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc93…b91dbacked Under | 67c | 222.54$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.44 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +6.8wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 47c | 214.97$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.03 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e54…c8ccbacked Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 42c | 168.72$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 58c | 162.89$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.41 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 58c | 151.39$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 45c | 151.05$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.97 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Under | 56c | 138.62$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.53 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Over | 48c | 135.42$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 28c | 131.59$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 78c | 131.39$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Under | 53c | 126.11$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.64 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 20c | 117$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 29c | 110.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 61c | 102.35$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 101.1$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6c6dbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d09…7dfbbacked Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 330 | 32.7%108 W · 222 L | -22.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d6…e952backed Under | 55c | 99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Over | 46c | 99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 246 | 46.7%115 W · 131 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 46c | 87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…eadebacked Under | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd814…09d0backed Under | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Over | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 58c | 68.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 58c | 68.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…7d86backed Over | 23c | 63.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5761…b74cbacked Under | 61c | 61.95$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 46c | 60.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc78…f1f5backed Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…438abacked Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 59c | 51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 47c | 49.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 51c | 49.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Over | 43c | 46.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 45c | 43.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 44c | 37.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 44c | 35.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4cbabacked Under | 75c | 33.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 56c | 33.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Under | 69c | 29.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +21.2wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 58c | 28.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcf…c678backed Under | 79c | 27.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…3107backed Under | 79c | 12.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.66 | 125 | 72%90 W · 35 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5this page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles DodgersAtlanta Braves won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 11.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles DodgersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.