MLB · resolved market
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50b5131b64e1e478abe8d927eefe6337c15e0082cd39e48f5311bbd05b1f7e41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,880
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,605
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,880 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f21…0ec5backed Under | 43c | 58,876$25,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,316.67 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 57c | 14,682$8,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,351.16 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc787…64e8backed Over | 57c | 13,396$7,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,760.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Over | 60c | 12,641$7,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,104.54 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 57c | 8,500$4,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,655 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9970…ce06backed Over | 57c | 7,140$4,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,070.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 43c | 6,510$2,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.3 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 57c | 5,580$3,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.39 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 43c | 2,800$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 46c | 2,040$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.7 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…c0c8backed Under | 6c | 1,700$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd19…3fb8backed Under | 5c | 1,581$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.61 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 5cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94ba…001dbacked Under | 10c | 1,300$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 9cpaid | +131%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 56c | 1,280$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.52 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 3c | 1,125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 136 | 5.9%8 W · 128 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 52c | 1,005$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.5 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…68f3backed Under | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…2f1ebacked Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked Under | 2c | 999.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 15.9%13 W · 69 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Under | 7c | 900$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 49c | 872.48$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.96 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 57c | 806.75$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.9 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 56c | 806.1$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.69 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedd1…45a9backed Under | 2c | 762.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 57c | 691.39$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.3 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 45c | 679.48$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.71 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…6599backed Under | 4c | 492.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 5cpaid | +545.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 491.39$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.31 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…d227backed Under | 54c | 400.04$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.02 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5192…df62backed Under | 7c | 389$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Under | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 83 | 4.8%4 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 326.03$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.79 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 55c | 321.09$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.71 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 52c | 309$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.32 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Over | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 43c | 226.1$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.22 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 52c | 204.87$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.15 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Under | 45c | 197.96$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Over | 57c | 194.75$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.74 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 57c | 192.98$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.98 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Under | 45c | 175$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Under | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 246 | 46.7%115 W · 131 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6c6dbacked Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecee…2120backed Under | 49c | 96.1$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.09 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 48c | 91.25$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.45 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 27c | 89.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.3 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 45c | 85.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.01 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Under | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Over | 57c | 76$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15db…1da8backed Under | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 41c | 63.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 48c | 63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Under | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 353 | 41.1%145 W · 208 L | -16.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65e5…0cadbacked Under | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a66…a5d7backed Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 209 | 50.2%105 W · 104 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 46c | 49.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 50c | 39.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 45c | 37.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c4…9e35backed Over | 41c | 36.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 51c | 33.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07c0…5dd2backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 184 | 58.2%107 W · 77 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 57c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5c…fb95backed Under | 44c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 61c | 26.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 56c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 57c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Under | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 50c | 21.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Over | 78c | 20.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 221 | 54.3%120 W · 101 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…df87backed Under | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4135…185fbacked Over | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5this page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles DodgersAtlanta Braves won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 11.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles DodgersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.