Euroleague · resolved market
Paris Basketball vs. Panathinaikos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6fc5d15b12acb2e743fd0c641325a1435d2dfff0697860f46da4c5fb0967aa9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panathinaikosof Paris Basketball, Panathinaikos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,845
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,210
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,845 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Paris Basketball | 47c | 5,839$2,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,738 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Panathinaikos | 53c | 3,377$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,577.08 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa83b…0e4abacked Panathinaikos | 55c | 1,835$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.67 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Paris Basketball | 46c | 1,295$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Panathinaikos | 58c | 999.85$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.24 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Paris Basketball | 45c | 607.79$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.62 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae87…e848backed Panathinaikos | 56c | 537$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Paris Basketball | 45c | 431.18$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.03 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Paris Basketball | 47c | 386.43$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.41 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Panathinaikos | 57c | 351.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.17 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x559e…7fe2backed Paris Basketball | 58c | 343.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Panathinaikos | 52c | 293$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.64 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Paris Basketball | 46c | 236$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.56 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Panathinaikos | 40c | 221.83$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.1 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed Paris Basketball | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Panathinaikos | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…07d4backed Panathinaikos | 56c | 177.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked Panathinaikos | 51c | 160.92$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.85 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1f…1224backed Panathinaikos | 67c | 141.31$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.76 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x084d…7e47backed Paris Basketball | 71c | 114.3$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.74 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ab…2798backed Paris Basketball | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Panathinaikos | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…1d48backed Paris Basketball | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cd…e2abbacked Panathinaikos | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Paris Basketball | 38c | 89.29$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Panathinaikos | 38c | 86.21$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.45 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Panathinaikos | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Paris Basketball | 43c | 82.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Panathinaikos | 30c | 75.76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.03 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Panathinaikos | 54c | 73.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.77 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Paris Basketball | 47c | 65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…c52fbacked Panathinaikos | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03e0…89acbacked Panathinaikos | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…0f52backed Paris Basketball | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb2…35d0backed Panathinaikos | 54c | 44.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb9…e301backed Paris Basketball | 48c | 43.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf849…2a0abacked Panathinaikos | 57c | 41.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…6565backed Panathinaikos | 55c | 39.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…612fbacked Panathinaikos | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x080f…aab3backed Paris Basketball | 47c | 36.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6e…dad0backed Paris Basketball | 47c | 36.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf75…dd23backed Panathinaikos | 57c | 31.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Paris Basketball | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc0…ba48backed Panathinaikos | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe617…a526backed Panathinaikos | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x731b…0c84backed Paris Basketball | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.