NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x370960cffb13b6e47f3f9e77bdf2a99d5e91cf955e4e89ebe403ebfab79034ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,728
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,210
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,728 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0140…9028backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 11,420$5,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,659.98 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Thunder | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Thunder | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 4,848$2,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,322.1 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Thunder | 51c | 4,522$2,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,216.01 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 51c | 3,815$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,875.47 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Thunder | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Thunder | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb482…e3ecbacked Thunder | 51c | 2,100$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5650…ce21backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 2,100$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…9498backed Thunder | 52c | 2,012$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.76 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c14…7bc1backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 1,400$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Thunder | 51c | 1,288$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.12 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6b…943abacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 154 | 61.7%95 W · 59 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Thunder | 50c | 890.12$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.06 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8d…a108backed Thunder | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 517.31$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 140 | 54.3%76 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 369 | 43.4%160 W · 209 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Thunder | 51c | 494.33$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.22 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Thunder | 48c | 469.23$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 457.2$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.79 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Thunder | 51c | 374.02$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.27 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Thunder | 52c | 316$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.51 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…4740backed Trail Blazers | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 236 | 42.4%100 W · 136 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Thunder | 52c | 304.58$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.2 | 160 | 61.3%98 W · 62 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Thunder | 46c | 281.57$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.95 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 204$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Thunder | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edb…6089backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54ae…32c2backed Thunder | 54c | 194.64$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.14 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Thunder | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87d5…9790backed Thunder | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 133 | 58.6%78 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Thunder | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 240 | 55.4%133 W · 107 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…0722backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 137.12$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.56 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Thunder | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Thunder | 51c | 110.86$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.32 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f8…9166backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 171 | 45.6%78 W · 93 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x084d…7e47backed Thunder | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.84 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Thunder | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Thunder | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5da9…582ebacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…a127backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Thunder | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Thunder | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cf…cb94backed Trail Blazers | 30c | 90$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 631 | 42%265 W · 366 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed Thunder | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Thunder | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x897d…90c9backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 165 | 59.4%98 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Thunder | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6abe…2205backed Thunder | 51c | 54.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 50.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 158 | 38.6%61 W · 97 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Thunder | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 345 | 56.2%194 W · 151 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…dfa3backed Thunder | 52c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…c2edbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 285 | 47.7%136 W · 149 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x084c…a811backed Thunder | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…2332backed Thunder | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46a0…f721backed Thunder | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 37.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Thunder | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Thunder | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…f12fbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…8163backed Thunder | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccc…4368backed Thunder | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa916…4f30backed Thunder | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Thunder | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b4…e064backed Thunder | 51c | 23.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Thunder | 51c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4131…d591backed Thunder | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be8…f449backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Thunder | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1231…786cbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Thunder won
- Trail Blazers vs. ThunderThunder won
- Trail Blazers vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Trail Blazers vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Thunder: O/U 234.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.