Euroleague · resolved market
Real Madrid vs. La Laguna Tenerife
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0bb905dd1f60e11cc17d5984074014bef431aaa84fbb85e4f3639ad43c41b5d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- La Laguna Tenerifeof Real Madrid, La Laguna Tenerife
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,688
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,826
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,688 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc418…5e1ebacked Real Madrid | 58c | 5,119$2,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,965.51 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked La Laguna Tenerife | 46c | 3,706$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,006.04 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed La Laguna Tenerife | 40c | 2,850$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Real Madrid | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.97 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Real Madrid | 68c | 1,436$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc229…dbeabacked Real Madrid | 54c | 1,360$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.01 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked La Laguna Tenerife | 19c | 999.97$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.98 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed La Laguna Tenerife | 56c | 963.16$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.76 | 132 | 20.5%27 W · 105 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x084d…7e47backed Real Madrid | 51c | 952.31$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.83 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked La Laguna Tenerife | 51c | 913.64$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.91 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked La Laguna Tenerife | 39c | 652.47$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.02 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked La Laguna Tenerife | 43c | 541.94$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.75 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Real Madrid | 75c | 524.88$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.8 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc84f…c9ecbacked La Laguna Tenerife | 48c | 504.58$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed La Laguna Tenerife | 40c | 484.64$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.84 | 215 | 35.8%77 W · 138 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked La Laguna Tenerife | 43c | 388.26$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…8e23backed La Laguna Tenerife | 20c | 322.93$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.08 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Real Madrid | 34c | 314.82$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.86 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked La Laguna Tenerife | 39c | 308.56$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.44 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked La Laguna Tenerife | 41c | 308.52$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.03 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…9419backed La Laguna Tenerife | 57c | 274.95$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.1 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Real Madrid | 67c | 229.13$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.96 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…b52ebacked Real Madrid | 44c | 220.56$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…e46cbacked Real Madrid | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked La Laguna Tenerife | 20c | 199.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.99 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked La Laguna Tenerife | 32c | 190.64$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.64 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -7.5wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked La Laguna Tenerife | 36c | 170$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.89 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Real Madrid | 37c | 159.52$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.05 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…2c33backed Real Madrid | 71c | 158.45$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Real Madrid | 80c | 158.15$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked La Laguna Tenerife | 43c | 157.16$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked La Laguna Tenerife | 27c | 150$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.5 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b6…70ffbacked Real Madrid | 75c | 144.98$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…e926backed La Laguna Tenerife | 41c | 141.16$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.28 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked La Laguna Tenerife | 38c | 135.39$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.3 | 64 | 70.3%45 W · 19 L | +11.5wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Real Madrid | 15c | 108.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed La Laguna Tenerife | 41c | 94.11$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.52 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked La Laguna Tenerife | 51c | 87.28$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Real Madrid | 65c | 71.77$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.49 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Real Madrid | 32c | 68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Real Madrid | 32c | 68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed La Laguna Tenerife | 44c | 65.81$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.81 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e11…9f74backed Real Madrid | 73c | 65.54$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed La Laguna Tenerife | 41c | 65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.35 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…626dbacked Real Madrid | 52c | 52.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked La Laguna Tenerife | 39c | 52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed La Laguna Tenerife | 41c | 47.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a1…3a92backed La Laguna Tenerife | 41c | 47.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba37…dedcbacked La Laguna Tenerife | 34c | 44.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed La Laguna Tenerife | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…f6e1backed Real Madrid | 59c | 39.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed La Laguna Tenerife | 41c | 38.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Real Madrid | 52c | 26.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…2b7ebacked Real Madrid | 60c | 19.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e40…47a4backed Real Madrid | 65c | 16.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.