Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Tirante (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6913c2d93332f8fd2bfb075d9344a434dcf2e15d09dc33727b981cf6aff7ca37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Medvedevof Medvedev, Tirante
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,749
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,992
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,749 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Medvedev | 32c | 4,943$1,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,337.12 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Tirante | 68c | 4,591$3,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,121.68 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4af7…2381backed Tirante | 66c | 1,842$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.49 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…78f8backed Tirante | 64c | 1,564$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.89 | 436 | 47.2%206 W · 230 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x315b…2f66backed Medvedev | 36c | 1,543$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +195.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Medvedev | 35c | 1,156$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.7 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Medvedev | 31c | 893.03$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.68 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Tirante | 66c | 600$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c8…68d7backed Medvedev | 36c | 599.99$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Tirante | 64c | 548.43$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 366 | 57.7%211 W · 155 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7456…5148backed Tirante | 70c | 340.59$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.41 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Medvedev | 35c | 286$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.9 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Tirante | 63c | 275.46$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.54 | 354 | 39.8%141 W · 213 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad3…f5d0backed Tirante | 65c | 268.5$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.6 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91ad…a5cabacked Medvedev | 35c | 265.79$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.58 | 119 | 19.3%23 W · 96 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…67f5backed Tirante | 65c | 204.09$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.66 | 182 | 47.3%86 W · 96 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb6…96d1backed Tirante | 65c | 169.23$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 465 | 65.6%305 W · 160 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ac…d2d9backed Tirante | 66c | 151.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.7 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked Tirante | 63c | 150$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Medvedev | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Medvedev | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.99 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Medvedev | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Medvedev | 35c | 96.77$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3c…45dabacked Medvedev | 35c | 94.49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.42 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Medvedev | 36c | 90.63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Tirante | 66c | 86.21$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Medvedev | 34c | 79.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.79 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…c407backed Medvedev | 36c | 79.53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x084d…7e47backed Tirante | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -14%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…9cb8backed Medvedev | 32c | 69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Tirante | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 583 | 59.2%345 W · 238 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Medvedev | 35c | 53.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Medvedev | 36c | 49.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Medvedev | 35c | 48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e67…a39bbacked Tirante | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…98a7backed Tirante | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 172 | 42.4%73 W · 99 L | -17.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbffd…fab1backed Tirante | 66c | 43.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8123…fbbdbacked Tirante | 64c | 42.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Medvedev | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 329 | 37.1%122 W · 207 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Tirante | 39c | 40.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Medvedev | 33c | 39.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 423 | 41.4%175 W · 248 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a1…5a4fbacked Medvedev | 36c | 28.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Tirante (+1.5)this page
- Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil MedvedevDaniil Medvedev won
- Set 1 Winner: Tirante vs MedvedevMedvedev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.