College Football · resolved market
Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b2f144b5d46867ad85e8284b8c3278213398ef4410c0d069aeb95d8d719fe7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nebraska Cornhuskersof Nebraska Cornhuskers, UCLA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,160
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 48c | 33,333$15,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,334.03 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed UCLA | 54c | 20,898$11,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,285.17 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 46c | 11,176$5,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,035.08 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UCLA | 52c | 9,118$4,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,741.31 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 52c | 8,333$4,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked UCLA | 54c | 7,845$4,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,236.15 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed UCLA | 53c | 6,096$3,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,231.1 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed UCLA | 52c | 5,493$2,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,856.26 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 47c | 3,495$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,852.35 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked UCLA | 52c | 2,381$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed UCLA | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed UCLA | 52c | 666.72$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.4 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked UCLA | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 46c | 299.99$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed UCLA | 53c | 273.58$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed UCLA | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked UCLA | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 174 | 50%87 W · 87 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed UCLA | 53c | 130$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed UCLA | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed UCLA | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 46c | 62.69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.85 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked UCLA | 54c | 54.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f6…f838backed UCLA | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed57…e0a0backed UCLA | 53c | 21.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-1.5)this page
- Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. UCLANebraska Cornhuskers won
- Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. UCLA: O/U 44.5Over won
- Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. UCLA: O/U 45.5Over won
- Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. UCLA: O/U 46.5Over won
- O/U 43.5Over won
- Spread: UCLA (-1.5)Nebraska Cornhuskers won
- Spread: UCLA (-2.5)Nebraska Cornhuskers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.