Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Angers SCO vs. AJ Auxerre end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47c0c9a47f01159bc2a64d4dc6f6bac6f0aff4248d433e1d2d8be46d513f24a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,676
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,623
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,676 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 32c | 6,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.99 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 15c | 5,868$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.11 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 4,711$3,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.95 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 43c | 1,505$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.47 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 16c | 844.11$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.83 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Yes | 14c | 408.95$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.57 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 57c | 305.89$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.35 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 45c | 261.81$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.18 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc72b…3756backed No | 43c | 235$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.95 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 68c | 195.44$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.31 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 80c | 175$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 62c | 147.97$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95a5…4f7cbacked Yes | 47c | 110$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 32c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -10.4wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 18c | 75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 32c | 63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefb2…b043backed No | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…37d7backed No | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823c…0425backed Yes | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…9780backed Yes | 47c | 48.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed No | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 67c | 31.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 33c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed No | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 68c | 15.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Angers SCO vs. AJ Auxerre end in a draw?this page
- Will AJ Auxerre win on 2025-11-09?No won
- Will Angers SCO win on 2025-11-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.