College Football · resolved market
Spread: Florida Gators (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0baf489db6690e860913fafa443e44b7f1519340075f7d3086e4703c23e3766
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kentuckyof Florida Gators, Kentucky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $126,961
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $127,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,961 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Florida Gators | 49c | 37,257$18,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,234.12 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Kentucky | 49c | 27,557$13,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,954.26 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Florida Gators | 50c | 25,000$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,500 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Kentucky | 50c | 19,846$9,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,922.79 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Kentucky | 51c | 16,000$8,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,840 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Kentucky | 46c | 11,476$5,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,196.96 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Kentucky | 51c | 11,073$5,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,475.65 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7189…b454backed Florida Gators | 52c | 10,040$5,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,220.8 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Kentucky | 49c | 9,855$4,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,022.12 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kentucky | 46c | 8,000$3,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,320 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Florida Gators | 50c | 7,801$3,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900.5 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Florida Gators | 51c | 7,500$3,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,825 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Florida Gators | 52c | 6,362$3,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,308.41 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Kentucky | 48c | 5,208$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,708.33 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Florida Gators | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Florida Gators | 54c | 2,100$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Florida Gators | 52c | 1,808$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.92 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Kentucky | 52c | 1,308$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.69 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Kentucky | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Florida Gators | 50c | 1,040$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Florida Gators | 49c | 931$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.19 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Florida Gators | 54c | 896.59$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.39 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Florida Gators | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Kentucky | 49c | 546.64$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.69 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Florida Gators | 50c | 415.12$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.56 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd805…0d78backed Florida Gators | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Kentucky | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Florida Gators | 51c | 235.33$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Kentucky | 52c | 185$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed Kentucky | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Florida Gators | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 174 | 50%87 W · 87 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…3210backed Florida Gators | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…b17abacked Kentucky | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Kentucky | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c1…012cbacked Florida Gators | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Kentucky | 50c | 52.64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Kentucky | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 241 | 57.3%138 W · 103 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3513…c19dbacked Kentucky | 50c | 49.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Florida Gators | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Kentucky | 49c | 39.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9d…b033backed Florida Gators | 52c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Florida Gators | 51c | 23.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Florida Gators | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Florida Gators (-3.5)this page
- Florida Gators vs. KentuckyKentucky won
- Florida Gators vs. Kentucky: O/U 44.5Over won
- Florida Gators vs. Kentucky: O/U 45.5Under won
- O/U 43.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.