Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will PSV win on 2025-11-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a39350f935e3833fdb330c6ce7cfa8fb2d230e11689ac23f2c0e573cc185e2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,024
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,492
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,024 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 32c | 45,000$14,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,549.96 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 58c | 25,601$14,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,719.48 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 58c | 3,247$1,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.27 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 11c | 1,100$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.03 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 52c | 1,005$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.81 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 51c | 800.47$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.73 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 47c | 599.71$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.32 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked No | 44c | 585.71$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.5 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 52c | 481.55$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.3 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Yes | 47c | 401.61$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.61 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 35c | 376.23$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.12 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 49c | 308.6$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.6 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes | 46c | 296.54$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.18 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…37fabacked Yes | 49c | 255.46$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.98 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb032…4e09backed Yes | 49c | 225.9$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…2ad8backed Yes | 46c | 215.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.95 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 53c | 211$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.83 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e9…8ba9backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 43cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Yes | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 41c | 124.24$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.93 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8911…d388backed Yes | 47c | 118.45$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked No | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed No | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45fe…da9cbacked Yes | 50c | 72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8d…cfbebacked Yes | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0a2dbacked Yes | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 50c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked No | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ff…742cbacked Yes | 47c | 53.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e09…2a26backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…c33fbacked No | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…bc30backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 58c | 35.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 44c | 35.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 51c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 49c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5e…d841backed Yes | 51c | 33.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…0f52backed Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 52c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PSV win on 2025-11-09?this page
- Will AZ vs. PSV end in a draw?No won
- Will AZ win on 2025-11-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.