Premier League · resolved market
Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-11-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d275e5cb27ebbadd3bd6948d33218bda3c6248b75bcd70b5bdb99c603d712e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,799
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,799 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 54c | 11,106$5,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,950.81 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 29c | 9,454$2,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,707.77 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 45c | 4,949$2,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,216.86 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Yes | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 49c | 1,614$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.79 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed No | 71c | 1,500$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 30c | 1,058$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.26 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6775…17efbacked Yes | 26c | 774.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.35 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb672…e4e3backed Yes | 75c | 721.8$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9844…5e6cbacked No | 71c | 599.99$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 29c | 579.04$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.04 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 115 | 34.8%40 W · 75 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 71c | 298.42$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.2 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 71c | 289$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.56 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7860…4694backed Yes | 29c | 275.96$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 38c | 235.13$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.9 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507c…e186backed Yes | 62c | 167.26$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 28c | 164$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.08 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac3a…6835backed Yes | 57c | 140.35$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 126$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.8 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Yes | 29c | 123.03$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.35 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 108 | 74.1%80 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…b0d2backed No | 66c | 91.72$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83a1…f6f1backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…537bbacked Yes | 30c | 80$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 26c | 77.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.38 | 285 | 31.2%89 W · 196 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 41c | 77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 27c | 71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.83 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 204 | 25%51 W · 153 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 70c | 66.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.89 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9380…a275backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -8.9wins | -0.37per pick | 49cpaid | -62%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4f…8921backed Yes | 33c | 66.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.14 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…c936backed No | 42c | 52.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 59cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…08d8backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…eeb0backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…710fbacked Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe254…d8fabacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc47e…8ae4backed No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 75c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd14…e051backed Yes | 63c | 19.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9809…3416backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x438c…cde4backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-11-01?this page
- Will Norwich City FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?No won
- Will Norwich City FC win on 2025-11-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.