CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6deb19cd26637d5d51aa755e8f53664cb5ed97b6fd3de086e056e0d1f60b3c54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof FURIA, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,915
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,518
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,915 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9784…e452backed FURIA | 3c | 899.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…2518backed FURIA | 22c | 697.59$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.53 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed FURIA | 39c | 599.99$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed FURIA | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed MOUZ | 63c | 311.23$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.42 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed MOUZ | 77c | 306.33$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.54 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3cd3backed MOUZ | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf87a…82f7backed FURIA | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -7.0wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked MOUZ | 78c | 167.29$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.44 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb9…9dd0backed MOUZ | 61c | 122.2$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.66 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…044bbacked FURIA | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed FURIA | 42c | 86.21$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 423 | 41.8%177 W · 246 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…baa4backed MOUZ | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54dc…58a2backed MOUZ | 61c | 39.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…1b46backed MOUZ | 74c | 28.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3)MOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerFURIA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.