CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d52461b990996b5e1c20954cb9d46048e7486e7c4737ad6924743390336daa9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sharksof 9z, Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,434
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,434 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sharks | 61c | 2,628$1,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.45 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked 9z | 24c | 2,420$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.79 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Sharks | 56c | 1,576$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.99 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed 9z | 41c | 1,122$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.08 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed 9z | 42c | 1,114$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.88 | 821 | 43%353 W · 468 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb819…cc67backed Sharks | 66c | 662.89$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.38 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 9z | 65c | 405.47$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed 9z | 5c | 310.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked 9z | 40c | 129.83$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.03 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed 9z | 47c | 114.4$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.3 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…cd06backed 9z | 35c | 105$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.65 | 92 | 43.5%40 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed 9z | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed 9z | 72c | 78.92$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8d…140ebacked Sharks | 57c | 59.49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…79c6backed Sharks | 76c | 53.09$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…658ebacked Sharks | 70c | 51.19$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…487dbacked Sharks | 54c | 46.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb3…1356backed Sharks | 68c | 44.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked Sharks | 61c | 41.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 146 | 61.6%90 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed 9z | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 364 | 57.1%208 W · 156 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…cb71backed Sharks | 34c | 37.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11de…8985backed Sharks | 77c | 33.86$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed 9z | 36c | 31.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5240…dde0backed Sharks | 56c | 30.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…b4e6backed Sharks | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd73…f7adbacked 9z | 40c | 28.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985b…46c4backed 9z | 67c | 22.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.