Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Okhdood SC win on 2025-10-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb652cecbf302989a122480cb0ea1be20454ed619395f9c81cd69301e5089203
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,381
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,348
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,381 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 63c | 2,700$1,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,713.25 | 170 | 56.5%96 W · 74 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf488…b954backed Yes | 36c | 845.4$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed Yes | 35c | 451.35$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.97 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed Yes | 32c | 310.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c84…1093backed Yes | 37c | 270.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.83 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 32c | 248.48$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.48 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 52c | 235.24$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.33 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -7.8wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes | 46c | 225.72$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.89 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 33c | 143.38$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.38 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8166…de1abacked Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x658d…859fbacked Yes | 48c | 113.48$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes | 45c | 111.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.45 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95a4…e01dbacked Yes | 32c | 56.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f4…4dfbbacked No | 26c | 55.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c8…158bbacked Yes | 30c | 47.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b6…cfe5backed Yes | 74c | 40.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc92…ac10backed Yes | 48c | 39.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 54c | 32.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked No | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x448e…9e08backed No | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b1…6dd1backed Yes | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27fb…2d85backed No | 56c | 24.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c48…327abacked Yes | 59c | 21.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b4…efc6backed Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b76…18a6backed Yes | 74c | 17.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Okhdood SC win on 2025-10-31?this page
- Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2025-10-31?No won
- Will Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.