Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Georgia State Panthers vs. Eastern Michigan Eagles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb97b2681759396ad770fe0e67bc8581f62934fbcb73f607c18a3ab1a9bb919ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eastern Michigan Eaglesof Georgia State Panthers, Eastern Michigan Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,501
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,525
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,501 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 62c | 2,085$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.05 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Georgia State Panthers | 38c | 805.26$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Georgia State Panthers | 38c | 639$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.82 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Georgia State Panthers | 39c | 384$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.76 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Georgia State Panthers | 38c | 267$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.46 | 151 | 24.5%37 W · 114 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed Georgia State Panthers | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 61c | 99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x215f…a99abacked Georgia State Panthers | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd699…3f8abacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9925…7d0dbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.