Ligue 1 · resolved market
Stade Brestois 29 vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92b733848fdb796452ac43fd042ba9340ef835c219d9734b877f6157df69ac4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,494
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,513
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,494 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 3,271$1,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.97 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 47c | 1,357$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.73 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 51c | 1,286$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.11 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 48c | 815$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.23 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Over | 56c | 700$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68d6…cfb9backed Over | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 49c | 484.73$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.73 | 123 | 39.8%49 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f3…0d57backed Under | 53c | 292.45$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 50c | 232.69$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.34 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +10.6wins | +0.29per pick | 47cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc794…d09cbacked Over | 48c | 208.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb95f…c250backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Over | 50c | 200.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb5…cdb0backed Under | 53c | 113.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed Under | 51c | 99.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd479…2692backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…71dbbacked Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08dd…55b0backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Under | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x825a…ece6backed Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ba…3b9ebacked Over | 49c | 61.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 52c | 56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2b…d4d3backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 53c | 45.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c0…681cbacked Under | 63c | 44.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Over | 37c | 44.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…7412backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.31per pick | 47cpaid | -63%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…d772backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Over | 48c | 38.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb61…bd7fbacked Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb9…2772backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-0.5)Stade Brestois 29 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.