La Liga · resolved market
Real Betis vs. Mallorca: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf8fb6e1a833af3c67e1207b9c0ecbf189d48301c8d93b9a63c98937aa88147b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,303
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,885
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,303 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31e0…94b0backed Over | 58c | 2,243$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 42c | 1,030$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.73 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 45c | 547.27$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.27 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68d6…cfb9backed Over | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 46c | 443.99$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.24 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 44c | 418.25$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd22…eaadbacked Over | 56c | 394.93$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.88 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +122.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 53c | 354.17$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…e89dbacked Over | 54c | 315.26$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Under | 45c | 300$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.32 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 42c | 273.42$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.08 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…0596backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1166…a8e1backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 54c | 101.01$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.46 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d75…8e95backed Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Under | 46c | 84.79$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0740…df2fbacked Over | 56c | 82.14$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 67c | 52.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x210f…d8c3backed Under | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e48…6fd3backed Over | 55c | 36.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…d772backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…ba82backed Under | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb3…6344backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd76…fdf3backed Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa751…ef73backed Under | 51c | 24.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be6…45bbbacked Over | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Over | 56c | 20.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Betis vs. Mallorca: O/U 2.5this page
- Real Betis vs. Mallorca: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Spread: Real Betis (-1.5)Real Betis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.