Australian A League · resolved market
Will Auckland FC win on 2025-11-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf17979ef7ccb08241b4e145b06db3f6318aa6596a9ea5c59bd0be8281265f8c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,975
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,642
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,975 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 45c | 2,002$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.08 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 45c | 862.02$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.77 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 36c | 551.58$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.3 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 56c | 460.24$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.24 | 90 | 65.6%59 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 54c | 394$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.24 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 56c | 179.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.25 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Yes | 56c | 162.5$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…069ebacked Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 45c | 137.71$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.97 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39d4…d476backed Yes | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Yes | 53c | 114.83$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.45 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…d2cbbacked No | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…e02abacked Yes | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +98.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 68c | 99.29$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.77 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 52c | 91.59$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…b0d2backed No | 41c | 89.31$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 40c | 83.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.19 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed No | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47d0…e238backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8777…66d0backed Yes | 56c | 42.95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc47e…8ae4backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 45c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a8…1008backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Auckland FC win on 2025-11-01?this page
- Will Adelaide United FC win on 2025-11-01?No won
- Will Auckland FC vs. Adelaide United FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.