Fifa International · resolved market
Will Scotland win on 2025-10-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f1df346118eeddcd8a9974c94a13445da733c8ae928adc25982a365f2c3de98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 35c | 7,500$2,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,874.81 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 65c | 7,316$4,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,748.62 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 35c | 7,141$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,640.75 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 65c | 5,577$3,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,625.12 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 67c | 4,203$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.7 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 67c | 2,493$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,664.1 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 33c | 2,000$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.12 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 49c | 1,485$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.21 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e957backed Yes | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Yes | 30c | 1,116$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.79 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0727…ec27backed Yes | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked No | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 24c | 959.4$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.32 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes | 34c | 739.86$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.86 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 66c | 558.59$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.08 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe63e…710ebacked Yes | 19c | 517.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +126.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 66c | 499.83$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.89 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 32c | 478.93$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.67 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 68c | 463.24$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fef…5840backed Yes | 35c | 425.71$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 75c | 420$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 35c | 416.65$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.99 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0074…2be0backed No | 69c | 414.26$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked No | 44c | 400$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.1 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 76c | 347.02$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.78 | 211 | 40.3%85 W · 126 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked No | 67c | 299.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd733…b175backed Yes | 34c | 289.77$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +200.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 270.92$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.64 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x851a…6c58backed Yes | 62c | 218.05$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.05 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 23cpaid | +69%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 33c | 192$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.09 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 66c | 187.88$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97b6…0acebacked Yes | 34c | 176.47$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.47 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc26d…63f2backed Yes | 31c | 145.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.33 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 35c | 137.11$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.12 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3b…e0c4backed Yes | 35c | 134.66$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.02 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a28…7630backed Yes | 31c | 130.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.65 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a09…4a9ebacked Yes | 35c | 121.63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.24 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Yes | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 73c | 107.04$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 229 | 59.4%136 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc674…5e6bbacked No | 68c | 100.44$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 38cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d22…3aabbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 37cpaid | -50%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8714…4750backed Yes | 30c | 98.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf144…f2bbbacked Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 62c | 77.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.13 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f4…e9c8backed Yes | 38c | 75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 64c | 73.75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85d3…0698backed Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…18c4backed Yes | 22c | 66.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb03…2276backed Yes | 31c | 64.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.12 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc7…5d7bbacked Yes | 36c | 58.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…f9e9backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98f6…79d2backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…3a5bbacked Yes | 35c | 57.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes | 35c | 57.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d3…1b1ebacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 363 | 49.3%179 W · 184 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddca…239abacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf301…dd70backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2113…0bb0backed Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3507…475abacked Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 63c | 40.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78d6…30babacked Yes | 34c | 36.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.82 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12e6…5468backed Yes | 37c | 32.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xded7…1ef1backed Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 66c | 20.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…4b3ebacked No | 68c | 15.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Scotland win on 2025-10-09?this page
- Will Greece win on 2025-10-09?No won
- Will Scotland vs. Greece end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.