Fifa International · resolved market
Will Greece win on 2025-10-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ec0c7393615e956e850656ebaff02874d1940d9b45e01b51d49623e14d043b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,672
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed No | 63c | 4,646$2,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.13 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 35c | 4,172$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.18 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 35c | 2,440$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.17 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed No | 65c | 2,323$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.85 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 63c | 2,202$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.99 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked No | 65c | 2,034$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 66c | 2,000$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.41 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd16a…7691backed No | 67c | 1,657$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.75 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 34c | 1,533$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.33 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Yes | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 64c | 1,410$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.67 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Yes | 37c | 1,359$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 31c | 1,110$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.32 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 65c | 1,013$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.79 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Yes | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 63c | 999.99$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 6c | 888$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 70c | 805.4$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.84 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe63e…710ebacked Yes | 34c | 786.39$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +126.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed No | 66c | 733.33$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.33 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 37c | 600$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked No | 66c | 600$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked Yes | 2c | 507.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 23cpaid | +69%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…1427backed Yes | 36c | 402.78$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 33c | 341.1$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.65 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…1feabacked Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 66c | 294.12$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…fb15backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb7…5984backed Yes | 37c | 267.57$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36bb…3345backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 65c | 210$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fef…5840backed Yes | 35c | 208.57$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 33c | 199$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.67 | 211 | 40.3%85 W · 126 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 35c | 191.43$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 40c | 188.75$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…4323backed Yes | 33c | 180$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b1…39dabacked Yes | 37c | 164.86$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10f1…958ebacked Yes | 36c | 161.11$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed No | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…40a5backed Yes | 36c | 152.78$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 74c | 151.14$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.19 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…7135backed Yes | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Yes | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c35…c311backed Yes | 36c | 140.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6816…859abacked Yes | 36c | 137.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…e16ebacked Yes | 35c | 119.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f22…be14backed Yes | 36c | 110.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 38c | 106.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 64c | 105.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe13b…e29dbacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Yes | 36c | 93.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 35c | 81.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a5…e1dfbacked No | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d22…3aabbacked Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 37cpaid | -50%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…95a6backed Yes | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ed…d9a5backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65e…8415backed Yes | 33c | 55.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -4.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3f26…0aa7backed Yes | 40c | 49.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…aafdbacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…18c4backed Yes | 32c | 46.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x969b…7f79backed No | 78c | 37.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8156…507cbacked Yes | 41c | 30.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…d3bebacked Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…f7b4backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Greece win on 2025-10-09?this page
- Will Scotland vs. Greece end in a draw?No won
- Will Scotland win on 2025-10-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.