TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-11-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,899
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,893

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,899 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa1d4…8264backed No1c16,098$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No44c10,446$4,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,583.615536.4%20 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes54c10,002$5,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,613.893,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Yes56c5,173$2,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,276.1815151%77 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes57c3,033$1,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,301.056241.9%26 W · 36 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd735…968ebacked Yes43c2,326$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86020050%100 W · 100 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked No44c1,780$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.2728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No43c1,759$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.511338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No65c1,606$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.5912247.5%58 W · 64 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012166.9%81 W · 40 L+17.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+29.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No43c926.49$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.1313327.8%37 W · 96 L+0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes33c862.13$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.92,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Yes56c775.64$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.289265.2%60 W · 32 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No56c725.99$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.9620042%84 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No42c676.97$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.666949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No8c658.57$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.78636%31 W · 55 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x891d…dd26backed Yes58c615.52$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.52650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddc6…8accbacked Yes57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed No49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24519027.4%52 W · 138 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe544…ab18backed No43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21530%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes57c420$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.64634.8%16 W · 30 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes24c414.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.5213054.6%71 W · 59 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8827437.2%102 W · 172 L-1.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes57c322.81$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.812161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+27.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No43c310.66$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.2984850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed No43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1296650%33 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No43c299.97$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.9910332%33 W · 70 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes56c253$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.4914740.8%60 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No43c207.77$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.345532.7%18 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868456%47 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.443259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1346…8502backed Yes32c175$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1192339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No54c158.76$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.9211644%51 W · 65 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3124…e9e0backed Yes58c149.22$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa43…3215backed Yes57c141.12$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.12560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked No50c139.46$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.137848.7%38 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf678…efc7backed Yes57c137.58$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No46c135.98$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.616513.8%9 W · 56 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-50.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No45c132$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.424655.7%137 W · 109 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa856…3964backed No44c121.2$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Yes57c115.65$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.732441.7%10 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed No44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502321.7%5 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-36.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Yes58c111.21$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.7111130.6%34 W · 77 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed No45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425240.4%21 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked No42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes46c91.2$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4842844.9%192 W · 236 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a5b…aeecbacked Yes43c87.84$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x443d…017fbacked Yes57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-41.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8594…7eedbacked Yes57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.724557.8%26 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f18…5388backed Yes58c82.69$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.73450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Yes37c82.06$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.063043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Yes55c80$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361675%12 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+40.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x70b0…b71fbacked No44c79.55$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354522.2%10 W · 35 L-7.5wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-49.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x65d3…d153backed No43c75$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.251258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x695a…d3d6backed Yes58c68.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.971957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed Yes58c68.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.97933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-33%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6cc…18cebacked Yes57c54.39$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.39450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x383c…0d96backed Yes56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.572100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+55.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes29c51.72$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.728138.3%31 W · 50 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.659037.8%34 W · 56 L-12.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-28.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x50bd…962abacked No42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6512948.8%63 W · 66 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.658046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefbf…79f6backed Yes58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+71%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No47c49$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.188444%37 W · 47 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes56c47.96$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2810143.6%44 W · 57 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Yes56c45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.87850%39 W · 39 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf918…30d5backed Yes56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.64250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaf9…1646backed Yes57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.861631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-47%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf144…f2bbbacked Yes57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.861855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x956c…13bebacked Yes56c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.84742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x439f…bdedbacked Yes56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.711258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0e8…a236backed Yes57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.091060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bae…5c82backed Yes57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.093756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd239…9038backed Yes57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce2e…c77bbacked Yes57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.091154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda35…49aabacked Yes57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.093100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cc7…908dbacked Yes57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.09250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2664…53f8backed Yes57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.091353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8f…3186backed Yes57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.09850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dea…26d5backed Yes57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.091040%4 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-36.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc609…f29abacked Yes57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.09366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb928…fa64backed Yes57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.091353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b43…467fbacked Yes58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Yes58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.484065%26 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb91…f766backed Yes58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.481145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No45c33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8523757%135 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5961…56dbbacked Yes58c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes56c29.98$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.199644.8%43 W · 53 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes47c27.8$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.616139.3%24 W · 37 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes56c26.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.794946.9%23 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Yes55c26.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-28.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfb5b…0037backed Yes57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.322100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b5…4d23backed Yes57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e3e…7fccbacked Yes57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.323745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b68…0060backed Yes57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.62055%11 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b12…aba8backed Yes51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc36a…be63backed Yes57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.61442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick60cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.