TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Dream vs. Fever

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Feverof Dream, Fever
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,471
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,043

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,471 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7435…a620backed Dream63c17,268$10,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,946.791136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Fever37c11,974$4,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,529.567162%44 W · 27 L+9.8wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+35.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Fever36c3,973$1,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,536.5811754.7%64 W · 53 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x328e…dc42backed Fever48c3,635$1,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,905.462751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a61…5781backed Dream63c3,477$2,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,181.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Fever39c3,100$1,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,890.9923931.8%76 W · 163 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Fever64c2,746$1,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.824438.6%17 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed Fever39c2,441$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,489.03450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Dream61c2,341$1,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,428.031936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Fever36c2,249$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,440.057753.2%41 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Dream29c1,990$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.719214.1%13 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Fever38c1,857$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,150.524835.4%17 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed Dream65c1,550$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.51457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick69cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Dream43c1,500$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.421,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x65d4…4e71backed Fever72c1,410$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3991163.6%7 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick73cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Fever41c1,233$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.821440.7%87 W · 127 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Dream64c1,189$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.963246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x699d…7b47backed Dream61c1,111$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.7140%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bf6…5200backed Fever40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e08…9726backed Dream61c1,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+35.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Dream61c1,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6102055%11 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Fever36c1,000$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6401435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f9e…46b5backed Fever48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5201100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd17d…d0eebacked Dream61c993.44$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06b2…9f35backed Fever39c911$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.712100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+200.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Fever38c759.9$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.959055.6%50 W · 40 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf208…314ebacked Dream61c749.96$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Fever43c737.95$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.631353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.23per pick31cpaid+50.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Fever36c712.96$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.2912463.7%79 W · 45 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Dream59c699.99$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41213044.6%58 W · 72 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Dream19c684$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.427542.7%32 W · 43 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Dream42c563.17$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.2431847.8%152 W · 166 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x811e…8733backed Dream43c546$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.78250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Fever39c537.58$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.932626.9%7 W · 19 L-5.2wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-39.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2fce…28f8backed Dream61c536.86$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.2730%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb852…bfaebacked Fever39c503.44$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.16631.8%21 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked Fever36c500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3204942.9%21 W · 28 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bc8…9073backed Dream62c483.82$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6c5…7becbacked Dream51c349.99$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Fever39c347$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.177855.1%43 W · 35 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Dream56c263.93$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14927232.7%89 W · 183 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Dream44c224.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023431.6%74 W · 160 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x97ef…5289backed Dream46c217.69$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001225%3 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-61.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb406…4964backed Fever37c210.86$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.841258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Dream62c198.39$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1231560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Dream62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017541.1%72 W · 103 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3823…2784backed Dream62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c79…15dbbacked Fever58c153.41$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+45.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf0c…2265backed Dream43c130.98$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.581154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4d9…7483backed Dream62c129.03$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf144…f2bbbacked Fever39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.21450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+60.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63dd…c279backed Dream62c120.97$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d16…4e1fbacked Fever71c113.59$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56bb…8e6bbacked Dream62c101.98$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Dream61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614052.5%21 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick56cpaid+13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Fever40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608633.7%29 W · 57 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Dream38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3812548.8%61 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Fever37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Dream60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+34.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a4f…c4f2backed Dream61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.27per pick45cpaid-73.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked Fever38c87.5$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.255048%24 W · 26 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Dream61c82.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.04633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-27.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x80a3…d285backed Dream61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Dream62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8268…6146backed Dream62c80$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf36…94e8backed Dream61c79.98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.79633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-53.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x17e0…1e88backed Dream26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+55.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Dream62c76$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.126560%39 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Dream63c68.59$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.212568%17 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85cc…4895backed Fever39c66.2$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+32%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25b0…94ebbacked Dream61c65.57$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-44.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x320f…1420backed Fever57c65.54$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.05333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-41.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9023…54bbbacked Dream62c64.52$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed Dream34c60.34$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.523754.1%20 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2dd…61dcbacked Dream43c60.15$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.911040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Dream60c60$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3620642.7%88 W · 118 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Dream62c59.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.981947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+26.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Fever36c56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8414136.2%51 W · 90 L+11.9wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0463…d029backed Dream63c50.79$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick68cpaid-40.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4f2…5bb5backed Dream61c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49ae…7ab8backed Dream61c49.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-46.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2ad…3fe3backed Fever39c49.18$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x18e4…8b5ebacked Dream62c48.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Fever38c48.39$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3507…475abacked Dream62c48.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Fever38c48.16$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.625844.8%26 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x729a…1e51backed Dream63c42.56$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.811346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Fever52c39.85$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.943748.6%18 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3151…a55cbacked Dream63c39.68$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+34.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc97b…7f7fbacked Dream63c39.68$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick71cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17d4…d3aabacked Dream61c39.26$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x131f…bb8dbacked Fever71c35.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.21250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dce…38ecbacked Fever39c33.33$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.332100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Dream62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a98…1873backed Dream62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a66…5b12backed Dream63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-25.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bfd…3462backed Fever39c30.77$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+41.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x605a…c6debacked Fever53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143473.5%25 W · 9 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+18.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6adb…fac7backed Dream60c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1820%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbddd…ad74backed Dream66c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-38.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.