TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Belgium win on 2025-10-13?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$86,800
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,748

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,800 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0daf…d74cbacked Yes55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,499.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No44c8,691$3,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,863.178240.2%33 W · 49 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No45c7,160$3,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,215.884,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No42c6,052$2,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,542.0312451.6%64 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d70…f478backed Yes58c4,001$2,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,683.911145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4651…9016backed Yes78c2,963$2,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No45c2,600$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1708359%49 W · 34 L+10.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+27.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.986643.9%29 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.9423622%52 W · 184 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fe2…52dcbacked Yes56c1,905$1,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb96c…19f7backed Yes55c1,783$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Yes58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.1411645.7%53 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x59e4…3130backed Yes57c1,500$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6451866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes41c1,211$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.6510629.2%31 W · 75 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c1f…6823backed Yes56c1,197$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.841580%12 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+42.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No30c1,091$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.274843.8%21 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No44c999.88$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.9516244.4%72 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ea…a857backed No44c947.7$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.995238.5%20 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a69…a466backed Yes56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.863447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70af…26fdbacked Yes56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.862133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No25c760.55$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.178538.8%33 W · 52 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Yes55c738.19$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.2124647.6%117 W · 129 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No43c676.99$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.1111444.7%51 W · 63 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No23c631.9$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.596845.6%31 W · 37 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes66c550$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.018949.4%44 W · 45 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes48c523.81$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.819140.7%37 W · 54 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x151f…807dbacked Yes55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+30.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes55c485.45$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.455255.8%29 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No46c469$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.7410056%56 W · 44 L+11.6wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+30.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes78c456$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.622959.4%136 W · 93 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4021…956abacked Yes58c431.03$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.032839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Yes55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes56c377.27$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1678960.7%54 W · 35 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x601d…1778backed Yes44c353.93$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.28933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8877…8ad4backed Yes57c349.2$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13510033%33 W · 67 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1352860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x113f…95a6backed Yes56c279.09$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.83148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd81…d892backed Yes58c277.59$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.591266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+25.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes56c274.01$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.6336349.3%179 W · 184 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes56c267.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.8610431.7%33 W · 71 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes58c258.62$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.623432.4%11 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed No43c250.33$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.647160.6%43 W · 28 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Yes55c250$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.51346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7826…20b1backed No44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-9.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6f3b…3f0abacked Yes56c223.21$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.211957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7272…7135backed Yes56c217.64$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.241656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Yes56c214.29$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.296643.9%29 W · 37 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Yes22c207.77$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.065149%25 W · 26 L+13.7wins+0.27per pick22cpaid+416.2%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x40c4…adbebacked Yes55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905932.2%19 W · 40 L+0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8610535.2%37 W · 68 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d8b…1743backed Yes55c194.99$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.75450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed No45c194.73$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.632853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes70c185.29$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4811660.3%70 W · 46 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked Yes56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5711458.8%67 W · 47 L+0.5wins0.00per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x495c…512bbacked Yes56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.57757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+29.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe68c…779dbacked Yes56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.576650%33 W · 33 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed No45c176.88$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.61942.1%8 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.18per pick24cpaid+89.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Yes56c153.57$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.576018.3%11 W · 49 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-44.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8511…ed83backed Yes57c151.46$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.131741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Yes54c150$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…8f66backed Yes55c145.45$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.452100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+59.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec2c…1b20backed Yes78c139.03$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.59650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa070…c103backed Yes78c130.08$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.622030%6 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-40.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdca0…140ebacked Yes56c124$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5617240.7%70 W · 102 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes74c120.53$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.781,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9bf…fdedbacked Yes35c116.06$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.16540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c32…f103backed Yes56c107.14$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.141656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98f6…79d2backed Yes57c105.26$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.263053.3%16 W · 14 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+47.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x347a…83e3backed No45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454443.2%19 W · 25 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Yes55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453447.1%16 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427830.8%24 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4239621%83 W · 313 L-0.8wins0.00per pick21cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Yes54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463271.9%23 W · 9 L+4.7wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+29.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4731…cba8backed Yes55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+25.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc08…267abacked Yes56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.291330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick37cpaid+14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02d…16cabacked Yes56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.298557.6%49 W · 36 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa987…52e0backed Yes56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.29955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x379c…797cbacked Yes56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.29850%4 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Yes56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.295453.7%29 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x72c6…f769backed Yes56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.29540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06da…3181backed Yes58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.211764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90fd…3443backed Yes56c85.05$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.42333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0934630.1%104 W · 242 L-21.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No23c80$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.44645.7%21 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes55c72.08$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.084546.7%21 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes56c68.18$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3074752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf144…f2bbbacked No44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick42cpaid-50.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2113…0bb0backed Yes56c62.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+73.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa615…1bd5backed Yes53c62.26$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.261442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2953…2ed5backed Yes75c60$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1515144.4%67 W · 84 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x42a0…3762backed Yes66c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.44238.1%16 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Yes56c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.412327.6%34 W · 89 L+0.4wins0.00per pick27cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dc4…306fbacked Yes55c55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7510939.4%43 W · 66 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x04ff…ad88backed Yes55c53.89$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.25475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+24.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cdd…3a5bbacked Yes56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.574158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc391…8f41backed Yes55c52.73$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.731861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+36.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ac5…28d4backed Yes58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.722356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x80ab…ab0dbacked Yes78c51.28$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84dc…9c02backed No44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.